NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	6.4 [503]		MVP	Travis Diener (IND): +22.2%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	1.0 [587]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -15.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Diener	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.05	0.00	10	86%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.06	-0.03	16	68%	0.23	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	8	46%	0.10	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.05
Danny Granger	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	47%	0.00	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	87%	0.18	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	18	59%	0.15	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.08	0.01	9	89%	0.15	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.07
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	38%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	10	58%	0.03	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	15	41%	-0.04	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.0	28.5	15.0	31.3	2.5	33.3	137.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.7%

SAC -1.3%

IND +3.8%

IND +12.9%

IND +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	15.4	108.8	102.9	105.7
season	13.8	14.9		104.5	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	13.3	13.5	14.8	13.5
SAC	15.1	15.5	12.3	16.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	28	31	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-12	30	11.7	14.2	-2.44	14.5	14.8	-0.38
Travis Diener	62	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.35	5	1	4	13.5	13.5	0.07	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Mike Dunleavy	89	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	3	0	13.5	13.7	-0.20	14.7	14.6	0.17
Shawne Williams	39	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	14.6	12.9	1.69	15.0	14.5	0.50
Kareem Rush	76	74	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	2	2	13.7	13.1	0.59	15.0	14.0	1.04
Jeff Foster	6	6	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	1	4	8.8	13.8	-4.98	13.2	14.8	-1.65
Marquis Daniels	49	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	13.5	13.5	-0.02	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Danny Granger	47	48	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	4	-2	13.1	13.9	-0.85	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Jamaal Tinsley	40	41	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	5	-4	13.5	13.5	-0.07	14.9	14.6	0.31
Jermaine O'Neal	74	71	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	18	-30	14.2	11.7	2.44	14.8	14.5	0.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	24	23	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-11	16	14.0	14.9	-0.94	14.4	13.3	1.13
Beno Udrih	73	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-8	10	14.3	15.7	-1.41	13.5	13.4	0.10
Mikki Moore	57	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	4	-14	15.8	13.3	2.51	13.4	13.6	-0.20
Quincy Douby	29	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	2	-10	15.7	14.3	1.41	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Kevin Martin	63	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.37	1	-7	8	14.0	15.8	-1.75	13.2	14.0	-0.75
John Salmons	88	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.0	12.9	2.15	13.7	12.0	1.74
Brad Miller	79	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	2	-10	14.6	15.1	-0.48	13.4	14.0	-0.54
Francisco Garcia	97	97	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	3	-12	14.5	19.0	-4.51	13.4	15.0	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.09,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 113, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.27,0	92.3%
MIA 98, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.2%
LAL 106, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.02,0,0	92.2%