NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	4.1 [976]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +20.1%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	1.1 [1181]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -13.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.19	0.01	0.03	13	89%	0.20	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	9	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	16	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04
Zach Randolph	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	19	43%	-0.02	6	-0.11	4	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.23	0.03	0.06	10	100%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	21	61%	0.20	5	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.2	14.6	26.1	1.7	28.2	124.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.7%

HOU +6.9%

NYK -8.4%

HOU +13.5%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.4	101.1	114.4	105.7
season	15.7	16.2		103.1	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	17.4	17.4	15.1	15.9
HOU	15.0	15.4	15.3	19.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-11	10	15.7	15.9	-0.21	17.0	15.9	1.13
David Lee	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-12	12	15.4	16.1	-0.64	15.9	16.2	-0.30
Malik Rose	15	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-5	-2	15.3	16.0	-0.64	13.4	16.6	-3.21
Nate Robinson	60	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-16	20	16.3	14.9	1.40	16.2	15.9	0.30
Jared Jeffries	20	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-3	-6	15.5	16.0	-0.47	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Quentin Richardson	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-1	-10	14.8	16.1	-1.29	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Zach Randolph	72	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-9	6	15.8	15.9	-0.10	16.8	12.9	3.96
Stephon Marbury	77	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-6	0	15.5	17.8	-2.31	16.3	14.8	1.50
Eddy Curry	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	2	-16	16.2	15.0	1.20	16.0	16.5	-0.57
Jamal Crawford	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	1	-14	16.2	14.1	2.16	16.2	15.9	0.32

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	1	10	16.1	16.1	-0.00	16.2	14.8	1.39
Rafer Alston	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	4	4	16.2	15.8	0.40	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Yao Ming	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	7	-2	16.7	14.1	2.57	16.1	15.0	1.05
Charles Hayes	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	1	10	15.1	17.2	-2.06	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Aaron Brooks	45	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	6	0	16.7	15.5	1.20	15.7	16.0	-0.27
Luther Head	45	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	6	0	15.5	16.7	-1.20	16.0	15.7	0.27
Bonzi Wells	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	7	-2	16.0	16.2	-0.23	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Dikembe Mutombo	15	16	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	2	8	13.7	16.6	-2.96	14.2	16.2	-2.04
Luis Scola	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	16	-20	15.4	16.4	-1.00	17.5	15.2	2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.99,1	95.6%
LAL 80, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 98, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1	95.4%