NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	113		Excitement	7.1 [350]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +25.7%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	4.1 [158]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -29.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.26	0.14	0.14	0.03	17	66%	0.31	2	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.07	-0.00	9	89%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	59%	0.06	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.07	4	-0.10	13	69%	-0.02
Billy Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	11	38%	-0.02	7	-0.16	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.02	9	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	2	-0.06	12	67%	-0.04
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.03	22	63%	0.16	5	-0.13	10	60%	-0.04
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	64%	0.11	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.19,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.19	-0.10	0.00	16	27%	-0.15	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	36.5	15.7	31.0	2.0	42.0	155.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.2%

ATL -6.1%

ATL -2.1%

NJN +26.6%

NJN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ATL	NBA	NJN	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.1	15.4	109.7	102.9	105.7
season	15.4	15.4		101.8	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.5	14.0	12.7	12.2	13.7
ATL	14.0	15.4	15.0	12.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	87	87	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.41	16	-10	26	13.9	13.2	0.66	14.5	11.9	2.62
Josh Boone	79	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-10	26	13.6	14.1	-0.49	13.3	16.5	-3.20
Jason Kidd	92	93	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.17	17	-11	28	13.6	14.8	-1.20	13.9	15.6	-1.74
Sean Williams	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	0	6	13.7	13.8	-0.14	15.6	12.7	2.86
Darrell Armstrong	36	37	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	8	-10	12.6	14.4	-1.79	14.1	14.1	-0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	60	60	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.31	-8	14	-22	13.9	13.5	0.48	13.5	14.9	-1.40
Marcus Williams	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	3	0	13.9	13.7	0.13	15.9	13.8	2.06
Billy Thomas	10	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.07	2	4	-2	14.4	13.7	0.72	14.2	14.1	0.14
Richard Jefferson	84	85	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.24	-11	17	-28	14.0	12.8	1.17	13.6	16.2	-2.55
Jason Collins	4	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	15	-24	18.5	13.6	4.94	17.0	13.9	3.07

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	27	29	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.08	7	-13	20	13.7	14.2	-0.45	14.4	13.5	0.98
Shelden Williams	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-8	10	16.2	13.5	2.69	14.6	13.5	1.11
Mario West	29	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-9	12	11.4	15.1	-3.69	13.5	13.8	-0.32
Josh Childress	74	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-13	20	13.5	15.4	-1.86	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Zaza Pachulia	7	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	14.9	14.0	0.84	8.2	14.1	-5.93
Al Horford	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-4	2	13.5	14.6	-1.11	13.3	14.2	-0.90
Marvin Williams	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	5	-16	14.8	13.2	1.65	14.7	12.6	2.14
Josh Smith	98	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	14.0	15.0	-0.98	13.6	15.4	-1.76
Anthony Johnson	80	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.17	-13	7	-20	14.0	14.3	-0.33	13.4	14.7	-1.32
Joe Johnson	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.19	-13	7	-20	15.0	11.7	3.29	14.0	13.0	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.43,0.21,0.14,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 119, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.5%
SAS 117, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.1%
OKC 127, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	91.8%