NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	76		Excitement	2.7 [1228]		MVP	David West (NOH): +11.1%
New Orleans Hornets	110		Comeback	1.3 [1223]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -13.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.05	16	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	-0.12	13	39%	0.01	6	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	53%	-0.05	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.21	-0.00	-0.08	14	30%	-0.07	6	-0.06	2	50%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.00	0.06	12	79%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	11	63%	0.09	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Vinicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	13	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	12	54%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.8	27.1	15.4	27.4	1.7	27.3	121.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +31.4%

NOH +7.1%

MIN -8.8%

NOH +19.9%

NOH +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOH	NBA	MIN	NOH	NBA
this game	16.9	13.6	15.4	80.0	117.0	105.7
season	15.9	15.9		102.2	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.0		104.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	19.5	18.1	15.9	14.6	16.9
NOH	12.6	15.3	13.4	13.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-27	20	10.6	17.6	-7.05	9.7	14.0	-4.31
Mark Madsen	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-32	30	20.4	16.6	3.79	10.0	13.9	-3.93
Chris Richard	35	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.36	-16	-18	2	16.8	16.9	-0.12	12.5	14.1	-1.60
Corey Brewer	70	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.43	-19	-15	-4	16.9	17.0	-0.13	14.1	12.1	1.99
Craig Smith	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-27	20	16.4	17.2	-0.80	13.8	13.4	0.44
Al Jefferson	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.18	-14	-20	6	18.0	14.9	3.11	15.1	10.8	4.37
Gerald Green	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.25	-21	-13	-8	16.0	19.1	-3.11	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Antoine Walker	42	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	-12	-10	16.6	17.2	-0.56	13.6	13.5	0.04
Ryan Gomes	73	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	-16	-2	17.8	14.0	3.84	13.9	12.3	1.61
Sebastian Telfair	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.72	-44	10	-54	16.9	16.9	0.01	13.2	15.2	-2.05

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	60	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.32	31	3	28	13.0	14.6	-1.62	17.6	15.5	2.13
Chris Paul	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.35	32	2	30	12.9	14.6	-1.67	18.0	15.2	2.81
Morris Peterson	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	12	10	13.7	13.4	0.38	17.8	15.9	1.85
Peja Stojakovic	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.24	21	13	8	14.1	13.0	1.04	17.7	16.0	1.67
Tyson Chandler	54	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.24	19	15	4	13.9	13.1	0.75	17.9	15.4	2.49
Hilton Armstrong	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.26	15	19	-4	13.1	13.9	-0.75	15.4	17.9	-2.49
Rasual Butler	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	27	-20	13.5	13.6	-0.11	16.5	17.2	-0.71
Bobby Jackson	38	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	28	-22	14.2	13.1	1.10	16.3	17.3	-1.00
Marcus Vinicius	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	25	-16	9.5	14.1	-4.65	12.2	17.6	-5.33
Jannero Pargo	39	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.18	5	29	-24	14.3	13.0	1.33	15.6	17.9	-2.25
Julian Wright	34	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.18	3	31	-28	14.6	13.0	1.62	15.5	17.6	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, MIN 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NJN 97, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SAC 103, DEN 128	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%