NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	8.7 [136]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +40.1%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	3.4 [195]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (ATL): -26.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.40	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.4	0.15	0.28	0.03	22	60%	0.44	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.07
Marvin Williams	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.01	12	71%	0.27	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.04
Josh Smith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.21,0.12	0.01	0.12	0.01	13	53%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Al Horford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	65%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Acie Law	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	37%	0.00	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.18	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	3	-0.24	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25	0.25	0.10	0.15	0.00	8	67%	0.25	0	0.00	5	100%	0.09
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.15	-0.00	12	60%	0.25	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	4	60%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.05
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	14	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.14	-0.24	0.03	19	73%	0.09	4	-0.21	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	27.4	15.5	26.5	2.6	41.0	139.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +36.7%

ATL +2.4%

ATL +29.2%

WAS -21.2%

ATL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	15.4	114.1	105.7	105.7
season	15.4	16.1		104.2	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		107.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	19.7	18.2	14.9	16.9
WAS	17.3	17.3	16.9	15.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	54	56	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-9	23	16.5	17.6	-1.15	16.9	16.1	0.85
Joe Johnson	81	82	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.24	13	-8	21	17.0	15.2	1.71	16.7	15.2	1.50
Josh Childress	40	40	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-4	13	17.9	16.0	1.92	16.2	16.9	-0.66
Anthony Johnson	72	73	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-3	11	16.2	20.6	-4.41	17.0	14.6	2.34
Josh Smith	69	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	17.0	16.4	0.63	16.3	17.8	-1.51
Mario West	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	11	-17	12.9	17.4	-4.47	11.8	17.2	-5.39
Marvin Williams	61	66	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	12	-19	16.1	18.9	-2.83	17.2	14.9	2.31
Acie Law	11	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	10	-15	19.7	16.5	3.27	15.2	16.8	-1.67
Zaza Pachulia	28	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	14	-23	19.4	15.7	3.69	16.9	16.4	0.48

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	21	22	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-9	13	18.3	16.1	2.21	19.6	15.9	3.72
Roger Mason Jr.	39	39	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-3	1	15.9	17.2	-1.29	15.6	17.9	-2.29
Mike Wilks	18	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-7	9	17.1	16.5	0.63	18.6	16.5	2.07
Darius Songaila	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	19.2	15.7	3.44	18.7	16.2	2.49
Andray Blatche	18	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-4	3	16.6	16.6	-0.07	16.9	16.9	0.06
Antawn Jamison	79	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	16.4	19.0	-2.63	16.5	20.3	-3.86
Nick Young	38	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	16.2	16.9	-0.66	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Brendan Haywood	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	6	-17	16.4	16.9	-0.52	16.7	17.1	-0.35
DeShawn Stevenson	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	2	-9	16.5	17.9	-1.43	16.8	17.7	-0.96
Caron Butler	74	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	9	-23	16.4	17.8	-1.45	16.5	19.2	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.22,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	89.4%
MIN 89, UTA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.05,0	89.2%
WAS 98, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.09,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.08,0	88.9%