NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	8.0 [231]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +18.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Comeback	2.6 [144]		LVP	Reggie Evans (PHI): -23.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.15	0.00	9	67%	0.28	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	14	59%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	12	61%	0.24	4	-0.16	9	67%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	35%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	8	22%	-0.13	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.06	0.00	11	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.02	-0.03	9	35%	0.04	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.08
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.02	18	57%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	10	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	28%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	31.0	15.8	25.8	2.6	41.4	144.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.6%

PHI +1.1%

PHI +13.4%

PHI +6.9%

PHI +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.4	95.8	89.6	105.7
season	15.2	16.4		104.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	16.2		104.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.4	13.9	14.4	14.0
CLE	15.2	17.1	17.4	14.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	86	85	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	14.4	10.5	3.90	15.7	18.7	-3.07
Kyle Korver	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-1	8	12.9	15.5	-2.55	16.7	15.0	1.69
Reggie Evans	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	14.2	13.5	0.79	16.5	15.1	1.40
Willie Green	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	-3	12	13.3	15.0	-1.74	15.2	17.2	-1.93
Thaddeus Young	23	20	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-4	14	12.8	14.4	-1.59	17.2	15.7	1.57
Andre Miller	65	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	4	-2	14.2	13.5	0.79	15.5	17.2	-1.66
Andre Iguodala	66	67	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.34	-8	14	-22	14.5	13.0	1.49	15.7	16.7	-0.97
Lou Williams	38	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	14.7	13.5	1.24	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Jason Smith	24	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	7	-8	14.0	14.0	0.01	17.6	15.4	2.20

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	46	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	14.9	17.1	-2.19	14.2	13.8	0.48
Drew Gooden	66	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.29	7	-13	20	16.3	15.3	1.03	15.0	11.7	3.25
Anderson Varejao	52	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-5	4	15.8	16.2	-0.44	14.5	13.4	1.07
Ira Newble	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-1	-4	17.6	15.9	1.76	8.7	14.4	-5.69
Eric Snow	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	16.3	15.8	0.42	13.9	14.0	-0.07
LeBron James	83	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.33	5	-11	16	15.7	18.1	-2.39	14.3	12.2	2.12
Shannon Brown	44	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.24	-2	-4	2	16.9	15.2	1.70	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Larry Hughes	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-4	2	15.9	16.1	-0.16	14.1	13.8	0.29
Damon Jones	20	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	6	-18	16.1	16.0	0.11	12.5	14.4	-1.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	66	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	8	-22	16.1	15.8	0.34	13.5	15.0	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 86, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,0	92.5%
NJN 109, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.01,0	91.9%
DAL 110, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	91.9%