NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	113		Excitement	6.0 [585]		MVP	James Posey (BOS): +28.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	3.4 [696]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -7.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.15	0.00	9	85%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.07	0.04	10	68%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	11	66%	0.22	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.05
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	12	43%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.08	12	71%	0.11	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	6	87%	0.17	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.04	0.03	16	67%	0.20	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	13	69%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.04	17	63%	0.12	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	29.3	15.6	27.1	2.5	31.5	132.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +25.6%

BOS +11.7%

BOS +7.2%

BOS +4.9%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	17.5	14.9	15.4	128.4	114.4	105.7
season	15.6	15.2		108.0	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.9		104.2	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	20.8	15.7	15.7	18.1	17.5
PHI	16.2	14.3	17.7	11.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	66	66	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.22	19	-9	28	16.7	19.9	-3.26	15.3	14.0	1.31
Paul Pierce	79	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-5	20	17.5	17.4	0.02	15.4	10.1	5.27
Tony Allen	33	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-1	12	16.0	18.3	-2.35	13.3	15.9	-2.66
James Posey	51	53	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	6	-2	17.7	17.1	0.66	13.5	16.9	-3.34
Eddie House	34	34	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	8	-6	19.5	16.2	3.36	12.0	16.7	-4.74
Ray Allen	63	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	6	-2	17.7	16.9	0.76	15.2	14.2	1.03
Kendrick Perkins	35	35	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	6	-2	17.8	17.3	0.51	17.1	13.6	3.49
Rajon Rondo	50	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	6	-2	16.2	19.1	-2.89	16.5	12.6	3.91
Brian Scalabrine	3	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	13	-16	20.0	17.4	2.62	13.3	15.0	-1.64
Glen Davis	26	26	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.00	-10	20	-30	19.3	16.7	2.61	14.7	15.0	-0.32

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	22	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-13	16	13.6	15.3	-1.70	16.4	17.9	-1.43
Kyle Korver	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-10	10	14.8	15.0	-0.28	17.4	17.5	-0.06
Willie Green	67	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-1	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.10	17.0	18.7	-1.70
Reggie Evans	46	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	0	-10	16.2	13.6	2.60	17.8	17.2	0.59
Samuel Dalembert	59	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-4	-2	16.0	12.9	3.03	17.8	16.9	0.87
Lou Williams	54	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	-3	-4	13.3	17.3	-3.97	17.1	18.0	-0.82
Andre Iguodala	85	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	-1	-8	15.1	12.2	2.88	17.5	17.6	-0.14
Andre Miller	80	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.24	-12	2	-14	15.0	14.4	0.59	18.1	13.7	4.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.63,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.42,0.28,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0	93.3%
LAL 112, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
SAS 97, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0	92.8%