NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	3.4 [1104]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +20.4%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.0 [1039]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -16.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.03	-0.00	12	85%	0.23	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	11	74%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.08	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	5	100%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	17	39%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	8	48%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	6	85%	0.13	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	7	86%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	61%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	0.00	0.09	9	68%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	3	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	9	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	24%	-0.10	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	1.6	32.0	17.8	28.3	5.7	26.1	141.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.5%

ATL -5.2%

DET +14.3%

DET +1.3%

DET +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	15.4	114.0	103.3	105.7
season	16.8	15.4		108.8	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.8		107.2	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.2	18.0	14.1	15.7	15.7
ATL	13.6	16.2	17.0	14.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	65	63	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.27	28	-17	45	16.0	15.1	0.89	15.9	14.3	1.64
Richard Hamilton	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.29	28	-17	45	15.4	16.5	-1.11	15.6	14.9	0.72
Chauncey Billups	60	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-16	43	14.8	17.5	-2.67	15.7	14.8	0.86
Antonio McDyess	61	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.20	21	-10	31	15.8	15.6	0.21	15.7	14.8	0.84
Jason Maxiell	67	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	6	-1	15.7	15.8	-0.05	15.0	16.3	-1.21
Rasheed Wallace	30	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	4	3	15.6	15.8	-0.19	16.2	15.0	1.14
Nazr Mohammed	11	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	8	-5	18.4	15.4	2.99	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Ronald Murray	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.44	-15	26	-41	15.7	15.7	-0.03	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Amir Johnson	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	25	-39	14.1	16.1	-2.05	14.4	15.6	-1.17
Jarvis Hayes	33	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.46	-16	27	-43	16.1	15.5	0.60	13.9	16.2	-2.28
Lindsey Hunter	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	12	-13	22.1	15.0	7.06	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Arron Afflalo	22	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.45	-18	29	-47	15.3	15.9	-0.54	15.5	15.4	0.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	17	18	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.41	14	-25	39	15.4	15.4	-0.06	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Salim Stoudamire	29	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.34	11	-22	33	13.9	16.1	-2.20	15.8	15.7	0.04
Shelden Williams	57	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.32	10	-21	31	14.7	16.5	-1.75	15.7	15.7	-0.01
Solomon Jones	16	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.41	12	-23	35	15.4	15.4	0.04	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Anthony Johnson	24	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-6	1	14.7	15.6	-0.94	18.1	14.8	3.26
Josh Childress	63	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-13	15	14.8	16.7	-1.93	15.5	16.2	-0.74
Marvin Williams	53	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	0	-11	15.8	14.9	0.88	16.6	14.6	1.98
Acie Law	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.29	-22	11	-33	15.3	15.5	-0.11	14.7	16.5	-1.75
Josh Smith	36	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	8	-27	16.0	15.0	0.94	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Al Horford	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.19	-22	11	-33	15.5	14.9	0.64	16.2	14.2	1.99
Joe Johnson	51	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	14	-39	17.2	13.2	3.94	15.0	16.7	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
IND 98, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
SAS 104, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.21,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%