NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	10.2 [51]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): +140.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	105		Comeback	9.9 [68]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (MEM): -20.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	1.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.17,1.41	0.16	1.23	-0.01	13	75%	1.41	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.02	0.00	7	114%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	21	54%	0.16	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Jarrett Jack	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	23	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.41,1.06	1.06	0.25	0.83	0.02	16	86%	1.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	19	73%	0.33	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.12,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.12	-0.01	7	29%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.09	-0.00	11	73%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	14	41%	-0.00	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	8	17%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	26.7	15.6	25.1	0.3	32.8	125.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +58.3%

MEM -14.4%

MEM -16.4%

POR +17.0%

POR +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.4	117.8	115.4	105.7
season	16.7	14.9		105.5	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		109.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.3	15.6	17.0	17.1	16.9
MEM	15.2	12.6	14.3	18.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	50	51	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-10	21	15.4	18.8	-3.49	14.6	15.3	-0.72
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	-1	3	17.6	12.7	4.80	14.9	14.8	0.09
Travis Outlaw	59	59	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.50	-1	2	-3	15.7	19.3	-3.58	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Brandon Roy	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	3	-5	17.2	15.2	2.01	14.9	14.8	0.09
Steve Blake	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.55	-8	9	-17	18.0	15.6	2.35	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Joel Przybilla	33	35	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	-4	9	17.8	16.4	1.34	14.1	15.4	-1.31
Jarrett Jack	41	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-8	17	15.6	18.0	-2.35	15.9	14.1	1.82
Sergio Rodriguez	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	4	-7	16.7	16.9	-0.21	17.0	14.7	2.25
Raef LaFrentz	10	10	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	5	-9	16.4	17.0	-0.58	17.7	14.6	3.12
Martell Webster	45	46	-0.20	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	5	-9	18.2	15.6	2.58	14.9	14.9	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	11	10	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-2	3	14.6	15.0	-0.33	18.5	16.7	1.79
Andre Brown	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	1	-3	18.0	14.9	3.15	15.0	17.0	-1.95
Hakim Warrick	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	2	-5	15.3	14.8	0.43	14.3	17.6	-3.29
Pau Gasol	81	80	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.32	8	-9	17	14.3	20.3	-6.04	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Damon Stoudamire	50	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.54	12	-13	25	14.1	15.9	-1.78	17.9	15.6	2.31
Kyle Lowry	41	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	12	-25	15.9	14.1	1.78	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Stromile Swift	31	32	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	10	-21	16.5	14.1	2.47	18.9	15.8	3.05
Mike Miller	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.53	3	-4	7	15.0	14.5	0.46	17.2	13.4	3.78
Rudy Gay	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-1	1	15.1	13.4	1.70	17.2	13.9	3.36
Juan Carlos Navarro	54	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-1	1	14.5	15.5	-0.99	15.5	19.0	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.57,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 90, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.68,0.74,0	89.2%
PHX 92, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.68,0.73,0	88.6%
SAC 96, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.78,0.55,0.58,0	88.5%