NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	10.6 [41]		MVP	Jannero Pargo (NOH): +31.0%
New Orleans Hornets	112		Comeback	19.2 [48]		LVP	Devin Harris (DAL): -38.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.01	16	59%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	8	68%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.06
Jerry Stackhouse	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.02	13	58%	0.18	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	19	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.10
Jose Juan Barea	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.39,-0.39	-0.09	-0.27	0.02	10	38%	-0.11	4	-0.28	1	100%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.09	0.22	0.00	6	79%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.16	0.01	14	69%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.07	0.01	25	55%	0.06	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.09
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.14	0.02	14	55%	-0.05	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.18	0.01	14	34%	-0.23	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	30.3	16.4	26.3	2.0	35.1	1.5	14.3	155.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +0.7%

DAL -14.0%

NOH +37.0%

NOH +21.0%

NOH +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.5	16.3	15.4	111.3	115.5	105.7
season	16.1	15.9		108.9	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	19.0	13.7	16.7	18.2	14.5	16.5
NOH	14.5	14.6	15.2	19.7	20.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	47	46	0.39	-0.89	1.29	-0.02	14	-18	32	16.7	16.4	0.32	14.9	17.5	-2.54
Jason Terry	83	85	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-12	20	16.1	19.1	-2.99	16.7	13.4	3.25
Juwan Howard	4	4	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-7	10	11.0	16.8	-5.75	8.5	16.6	-8.10
Jose Juan Barea	23	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-5	6	15.4	16.9	-1.42	13.0	17.1	-4.05
DeSagana Diop	46	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.41	6	-10	16	15.9	17.1	-1.15	16.0	16.5	-0.49
Erick Dampier	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	7	-18	17.8	16.1	1.75	16.2	16.3	-0.04
Brandon Bass	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	17.0	16.1	0.82	17.3	15.4	1.93
Dirk Nowitzki	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	7	-18	17.3	15.0	2.33	16.6	15.5	1.10
Josh Howard	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-3	2	16.4	17.2	-0.87	17.1	12.8	4.29
Trenton Hassell	8	7	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	9	-22	18.0	16.4	1.62	7.9	16.9	-9.07
Devin Harris	63	65	-0.86	0.36	-1.21	-0.47	-13	9	-22	16.5	16.5	0.02	17.2	14.4	2.83

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	85	84	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.33	21	-17	38	16.1	17.7	-1.60	17.2	11.8	5.48
Tyson Chandler	89	89	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.27	14	-10	24	16.2	17.0	-0.80	16.8	13.1	3.70
Chris Paul	89	87	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-9	22	15.9	20.0	-4.07	17.3	9.8	7.49
Peja Stojakovic	81	80	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-8	20	16.5	15.1	1.44	17.3	12.8	4.48
Morris Peterson	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-3	10	14.8	17.6	-2.74	17.8	15.4	2.45
Jannero Pargo	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.38	-9	13	-22	19.1	14.8	4.32	13.4	18.1	-4.78
Julian Wright	5	5	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	12	-20	21.4	16.0	5.41	10.2	16.9	-6.66
Bobby Jackson	30	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.22	-13	17	-30	16.3	16.2	0.09	14.9	17.3	-2.40
Melvin Ely	8	8	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.12	-10	14	-24	17.0	16.2	0.80	13.1	16.8	-3.70
Rasual Butler	19	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	11	-18	14.8	16.6	-1.84	13.5	17.4	-3.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.74,0.54,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 121, LAC 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.57,1	89.4%
SAC 91, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.76,0.84,1	88.5%
OKC 89, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.11,0.02,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.67,0.84,1	88.2%