NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	10.5 [42]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): +49.9%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	4.5 [218]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -47.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24	0.05	0.18	0.00	5	73%	0.24	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.04,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	17	55%	0.30	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.11	0.01	6	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.07,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	21	53%	0.11	2	-0.09	15	60%	-0.06
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	16	61%	0.11	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.21	0.29	0.00	12	78%	0.50	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	55%	0.14	4	-0.14	8	75%	0.04
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	10	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	6	56%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.22	-0.22	-0.00	-0.21	0.00	7	50%	-0.05	1	-0.17	8	62%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.48	-0.48	-0.16	-0.29	0.03	20	47%	-0.21	8	-0.27	11	82%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.5	26.3	15.6	29.2	1.8	48.2	151.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +95.0%

IND -28.4%

IND -17.7%

CLE +6.2%

IND -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	11.8	15.4	105.7	103.9	105.7
season	16.4	13.8		104.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.5	17.8	17.0	16.1	16.0
IND	10.8	12.7	12.2	11.6	11.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	87	85	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-10	25	16.1	15.2	0.93	12.0	10.5	1.56
LeBron James	80	80	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.45	9	-4	13	15.3	18.3	-3.06	11.4	13.2	-1.85
Sasha Pavlovic	90	89	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-2	9	15.7	17.7	-2.03	11.9	11.2	0.62
Daniel Gibson	31	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	0	5	16.0	16.0	-0.03	12.8	11.3	1.45
Ira Newble	31	32	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	-1	7	17.9	15.2	2.67	12.0	11.7	0.33
Damon Jones	48	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	3	-1	17.4	14.8	2.51	12.1	11.5	0.61
Dwayne Jones	12	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	5	-5	15.0	16.1	-1.12	10.2	11.9	-1.75
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	65	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.23	-10	15	-25	15.6	16.7	-1.14	12.0	11.4	0.54
Devin Brown	47	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	2	1	17.0	15.1	1.90	11.7	11.8	-0.05
Eric Snow	31	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.19	-12	17	-29	14.0	16.8	-2.87	10.0	12.4	-2.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	39	45	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-16	27	11.4	12.0	-0.63	16.2	15.9	0.29
David Harrison	48	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-10	15	11.9	11.7	0.19	17.1	14.9	2.23
Danny Granger	86	91	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-13	21	11.9	11.3	0.55	16.4	13.1	3.37
Marquis Daniels	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.54	12	-17	29	12.5	11.2	1.29	18.8	13.6	5.12
Troy Murphy	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	4	-13	12.4	11.1	1.29	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Mike Dunleavy	70	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.27	-22	17	-39	11.6	12.1	-0.42	14.2	19.7	-5.49
Jamaal Tinsley	88	88	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.39	-14	9	-23	11.5	13.4	-1.83	15.7	17.7	-2.05
Jeff Foster	79	77	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.38	-16	11	-27	11.4	13.1	-1.75	15.5	17.2	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 83, VAN 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.72,0.45,0.15,0	91.1%
POR 104, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	89.4%
LAC 76, VAN 72	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.85,0.67,0.15,0	89.0%