NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	75		Excitement	2.8 [1207]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +11.9%
Utah Jazz	102		Comeback	1.2 [1231]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -18.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	65%	0.10	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	57%	0.07	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	38%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	6	56%	-0.00	5	-0.04	6	67%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	9	26%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.23	-0.02	-0.06	9	11%	-0.09	6	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	5	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	9	85%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.05	11	80%	0.07	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	46%	0.01	1	0.00	9	44%	-0.04
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	3	70%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	28.4	14.7	31.1	2.4	29.6	134.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.3%

UTA +3.4%

UTA +4.1%

UTA +7.8%

UTA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	17.2	14.3	15.4	82.4	110.9	105.7
season	15.4	15.5		101.8	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.0	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.3	16.9	17.5	16.1	17.2
UTA	16.0	15.9	11.3	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	33	33	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-30	33	16.8	17.4	-0.67	15.0	13.9	1.13
Eddie Gill	37	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-24	21	16.0	18.0	-2.05	15.7	13.3	2.40
Josh Boone	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-22	17	15.7	17.7	-2.01	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Nenad Krstic	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-28	29	15.5	17.6	-2.10	17.1	13.5	3.64
Bostjan Nachbar	64	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-23	19	16.1	19.7	-3.58	14.4	14.2	0.18
Jason Collins	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-28	29	15.8	17.6	-1.78	12.7	14.8	-2.12
Sean Williams	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.40	-27	0	-27	17.9	16.1	1.79	13.8	15.1	-1.33
Jamaal Magloire	25	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.21	-21	-6	-15	19.9	16.2	3.77	14.1	14.4	-0.25
Richard Jefferson	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	-4	-19	17.5	16.5	1.02	14.4	14.1	0.30
Jason Kidd	54	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	-3	-21	18.0	16.0	2.05	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Antoine Wright	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.42	-33	6	-39	18.0	15.5	2.50	14.0	15.1	-1.12

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	58	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.41	30	-3	33	14.3	14.3	0.02	17.3	17.0	0.26
Ronnie Brewer	58	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.38	29	-2	31	14.5	13.9	0.58	17.0	17.5	-0.47
Mehmet Okur	51	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.25	21	6	15	13.8	14.9	-1.12	17.4	16.9	0.55
Deron Williams	64	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	11	5	14.2	14.4	-0.18	17.8	15.7	2.11
Paul Millsap	46	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	12	3	15.6	13.0	2.65	17.2	17.1	0.09
Carlos Boozer	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.18	13	14	-1	13.1	15.6	-2.51	17.1	17.3	-0.27
Ronnie Price	28	27	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.19	11	16	-5	14.4	14.2	0.18	15.7	17.8	-2.11
Jarron Collins	37	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	22	-17	14.8	13.9	0.89	17.5	17.0	0.49
Gordan Giricek	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	32	-37	15.1	14.0	1.05	17.7	17.0	0.68
Matt Harpring	26	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	29	-31	14.7	14.2	0.49	17.5	17.0	0.50
CJ Miles	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	12.4	14.5	-2.14	15.4	17.4	-2.01
Morris Almond	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	12.4	14.5	-2.14	15.4	17.4	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
TOR 103, CLE 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MEM 92, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%