inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 88 Excitement2.9 [1181] MVPCalvin Booth (SEA): +4.5%
Seattle SuperSonics 96 Comeback1.1 [1175] LVPDarrell Armstrong (NOH): -12.9%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01383%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.03677%0.042-0.031090%0.01
Maurice Carter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03744%-0.001-0.00250%-0.00
George Lynch-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shammond Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.020.000.041054%-0.0300.00683%0.02
Robert Traylor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01650%-0.031-0.00250%-0.01
David Wesley-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011243%-0.021-0.02475%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01950%-0.012-0.032100%0.00
David West-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.010.000.03360%-0.031-0.024100%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.01520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.16-0.01-0.051421%-0.102-0.031100%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calvin Booth0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.00675%0.061-0.014100%0.01
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.031055%0.042-0.02250%-0.01
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.051476%0.085-0.065100%0.02
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.06633%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Ansu Sesay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.07-0.00-0.081542%0.032-0.02333%0.00
Richie Frahm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.040.000.04782%0.053-0.05367%-0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04639%-0.0100.00683%0.01
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.100.00-0.05625%-0.031-0.0240%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.524.316.727.01.734.2133.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +49.4%
NOH -2.6%
SEA +5.4%
NOH -0.9%
NOH -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSEANBANOHSEANBA
this game15.715.615.796.7103.2100.5
season16.015.699.3105.0
opponent15.715.7105.999.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.517.913.514.015.7
SEA13.214.016.518.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Carter2730-0.02-0.480.47-0.4615-233813.616.6-2.9519.014.05.02
George Lynch4548-0.05-0.450.40-0.5818-264415.416.0-0.6416.714.42.37
David West2324-0.06-0.440.39-0.3811-193014.416.1-1.7015.715.60.09
Shammond Williams4043-0.10-0.400.30-0.4512-203215.016.3-1.2517.014.42.64
Robert Traylor3638-0.15-0.350.21-0.388-162414.816.3-1.4416.714.91.79
Steven Smith3331-0.21-0.290.070.20-146-2015.415.9-0.4913.516.7-3.23
P.J. Brown5355-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-102-1217.013.93.1516.314.71.60
Stacey Augmon4039-0.35-0.15-0.200.24-2012-3216.015.50.5313.916.9-2.98
Jamaal Magloire5555-0.35-0.15-0.210.12-168-2416.314.81.4414.916.7-1.79
Darrell Armstrong5150-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-2012-3216.315.01.2514.417.0-2.64
David Wesley5252-0.47-0.03-0.450.23-2416-4016.215.01.2814.417.1-2.63

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Calvin Booth43430.480.020.46-0.3428-204814.416.6-2.1615.715.7-0.10
Rashard Lewis78770.420.080.340.2853215.516.2-0.7116.013.92.10
Ray Allen66660.420.080.33-0.0817-92615.017.0-1.9715.117.4-2.34
Reggie Evans48470.410.090.32-0.2723-153814.916.4-1.4615.416.0-0.57
Brent Barry57570.390.110.28-0.1117-92614.417.6-3.1915.016.9-1.98
Ronald Murray43420.140.36-0.230.40-917-2616.115.11.0017.014.62.41
Ansu Sesay27250.110.39-0.280.1108-816.215.30.8716.515.41.07
Luke Ridnour39370.110.39-0.280.40-1018-2816.714.81.8815.915.60.32
Vitaly Potapenko47450.020.48-0.460.58-1927-4617.313.93.3416.514.91.64
Richie Frahm17160.000.50-0.490.35-1220-3218.015.12.9313.016.3-3.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 103, CLE 1250.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
PHI 82, TOR 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
NJN 75, UTA 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%