NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	108		Excitement	2.9 [1194]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (MEM): +10.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	125		Comeback	1.1 [1037]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -9.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.05	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	65%	0.07	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	58%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.10	10	77%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	12	39%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	12	39%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	8	55%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	46%	-0.03	5	-0.07	8	87%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.03	7	94%	0.11	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.03	14	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.01	-0.08	5	80%	0.07	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.00	0.08	12	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	62%	0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.05	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Andre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	30.3	15.5	24.1	2.5	29.4	132.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +42.1%

SEA -4.0%

SEA -3.9%

MEM +13.3%

MEM +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MEM	NBA	SEA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	15.4	106.9	123.8	105.7
season	14.5	14.9		99.1	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		109.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	16.7	13.7	13.2	14.4
MEM	12.5	13.9	14.0	16.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	26	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-23	29	14.4	14.4	0.01	16.6	13.3	3.32
Mouhamed Sene	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-18	19	14.7	14.4	0.35	16.7	13.8	2.91
Johan Petro	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-24	31	14.6	14.3	0.26	14.9	13.6	1.36
Wally Szczerbiak	50	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-22	27	14.4	14.5	-0.11	14.5	13.7	0.84
Chris Wilcox	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-10	3	14.5	14.4	0.13	13.2	14.8	-1.66
Nick Collison	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-12	7	14.4	14.4	0.05	14.9	13.6	1.34
Earl Watson	48	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.18	-13	-4	-9	14.4	14.4	0.00	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Delonte West	53	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-13	9	14.4	14.4	-0.00	14.7	13.4	1.30
Damien Wilkins	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.25	-22	5	-27	14.3	14.6	-0.26	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Jeff Green	67	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.29	-27	10	-37	14.4	14.4	0.01	13.5	15.2	-1.72
Kevin Durant	66	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.24	-26	9	-35	14.3	14.6	-0.24	12.8	16.6	-3.80

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.31	30	-13	43	12.8	17.2	-4.46	14.3	14.7	-0.47
Damon Stoudamire	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-2	21	13.4	14.8	-1.38	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Pau Gasol	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	-4	25	13.8	14.6	-0.81	14.7	13.9	0.83
Mike Miller	54	55	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.19	18	-1	19	14.0	14.2	-0.13	14.8	14.0	0.76
Stromile Swift	54	56	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	4	9	13.1	15.2	-2.12	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Casey Jacobsen	47	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	20	-23	13.7	14.4	-0.70	14.1	14.7	-0.64
Hakim Warrick	51	49	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	18	-19	15.2	12.9	2.30	14.9	14.0	0.94
Kyle Lowry	51	51	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	19	-21	14.8	13.4	1.38	15.1	13.7	1.34
Juan Carlos Navarro	44	44	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	21	-25	14.7	13.6	1.03	15.1	13.9	1.24
Andre Brown	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	19.3	13.5	5.77	12.7	14.6	-1.90
Tarence Kinsey	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	19.3	13.5	5.77	12.7	14.6	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 72, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
TOR 103, CLE 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
GSW 85, SAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%