NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	120		Excitement	11.6 [23]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (NOH): +32.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	118		Comeback	2.5 [529]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (MEM): -12.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.13	0.19	-0.00	8	87%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.11,0.01,0.25	0.17	0.08	0.00	29	61%	0.30	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	21	57%	0.32	7	-0.29	7	100%	0.13
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	67%	0.12	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	31%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11	0.04	-0.13	0.02	14	55%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.17,0.08,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.15	-0.00	18	51%	0.40	3	-0.24	3	67%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	11	59%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.25	-0.14	0.00	16	87%	0.28	1	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	16	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	10	41%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	26.0	15.7	24.7	2.8	37.2	1.8	9.1	143.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -29.5%

NOH +20.3%

NOH +51.7%

NOH +9.1%

MEM -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	14.6	15.4	115.4	114.6	105.7
season	15.9	14.9		109.6	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.7		109.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	13.5	16.5	17.2	16.6	19.8	16.1
MEM	13.7	14.2	14.1	15.4	17.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	85	85	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-13	28	15.4	19.5	-4.15	14.3	15.9	-1.58
David West	83	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-12	26	14.8	21.3	-6.51	14.7	14.2	0.43
Chris Paul	90	89	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-9	20	14.8	24.8	-10.00	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Bobby Jackson	58	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.50	-3	5	-8	18.1	13.7	4.37	14.7	14.4	0.37
Peja Stojakovic	74	74	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	-5	12	14.7	19.6	-4.87	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Morris Peterson	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	-3	8	13.7	18.1	-4.37	14.4	14.7	-0.37
Rasual Butler	29	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.21	-5	7	-12	20.3	14.5	5.74	15.3	14.3	0.97
Ryan Bowen	22	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	14	-26	20.4	15.0	5.36	14.2	14.7	-0.43
Jannero Pargo	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.11	-9	11	-20	24.8	14.8	10.00	14.9	14.5	0.40
Hilton Armstrong	19	18	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.08	-13	15	-28	19.5	15.4	4.15	15.9	14.3	1.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	49	50	0.32	-0.82	1.15	-0.09	14	-16	30	13.1	15.9	-2.86	16.7	15.6	1.13
Hakim Warrick	23	24	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.15	11	-13	24	15.1	14.4	0.71	18.3	15.5	2.80
Casey Jacobsen	13	13	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.10	9	-11	20	13.6	14.7	-1.11	20.9	15.5	5.47
Damon Stoudamire	46	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	3	-8	13.8	15.2	-1.33	14.4	17.6	-3.23
Darko Milicic	24	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	9	-20	15.8	14.2	1.63	13.2	17.0	-3.80
Juan Carlos Navarro	61	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.56	9	-11	20	15.1	13.8	1.35	17.2	14.5	2.66
Kyle Lowry	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-2	2	14.8	14.2	0.62	16.8	15.3	1.49
Rudy Gay	76	77	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.38	-9	7	-16	14.4	15.2	-0.87	16.1	16.3	-0.27
Pau Gasol	82	82	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	13	-28	14.9	13.5	1.39	15.8	17.2	-1.39
Mike Miller	82	82	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	11	-24	14.9	13.5	1.33	15.3	19.2	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.34,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.53,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 105, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.58,0	88.8%
LAL 101, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.49,0.6,0.47,0.21,0.33,0.23,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.28,0	88.5%
SAC 97, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,0	88.3%