NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	8.2 [195]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +31.1%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	4.1 [174]		LVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): -17.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.31	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31	0.25	0.07	0.02	17	80%	0.33	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	-0.01	0.19	-0.01	15	45%	0.22	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	10	80%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Paul Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	8	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	10	30%	-0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	9	50%	0.00	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	11	59%	0.19	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.02	17	58%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.03	-0.01	18	35%	-0.05	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.01	14	53%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	6	14%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	30.6	15.4	29.2	1.8	32.3	138.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +84.5%

CHI -24.1%

CHI -5.1%

CHI -3.5%

CHI -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.4	103.2	98.9	105.7
season	15.6	15.0		99.5	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.4	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	16.0	16.6	16.5	15.9
CHI	14.2	16.0	14.0	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	80	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-5	16	16.1	14.9	1.13	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Brevin Knight	61	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	1	4	15.6	16.5	-0.86	15.4	14.4	1.01
Tim Thomas	62	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.43	0	6	-6	15.8	16.1	-0.35	15.4	14.4	0.95
Chris Kaman	59	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	4	-2	16.2	15.3	0.92	15.4	14.4	0.99
Ruben Patterson	36	31	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-7	20	14.3	16.9	-2.62	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Corey Maggette	61	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	10	-14	16.7	14.4	2.26	15.2	14.9	0.24
Al Thornton	38	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	1	4	15.4	16.2	-0.84	15.8	14.6	1.26
Aaron Williams	3	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	5	-4	17.7	15.8	1.83	9.0	15.2	-6.20
Quinton Ross	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	7	-8	4.7	16.3	-11.60	8.0	15.2	-7.22
Paul Davis	33	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	7	-8	16.7	15.4	1.28	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Sam Cassell	34	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.06	-1	7	-8	16.5	15.5	1.00	14.9	15.2	-0.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	23	23	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.04	8	-14	22	16.4	14.6	1.77	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Joakim Noah	37	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-5	4	15.1	15.1	0.03	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Andres Nocioni	19	20	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-8	10	15.3	15.0	0.32	14.5	16.3	-1.71
Thabo Sefolosha	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.16	-6	0	-6	15.2	15.0	0.12	15.9	15.9	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	39	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-4	2	14.7	15.3	-0.65	16.4	15.5	0.84
Ben Wallace	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.50	5	-11	16	15.3	14.7	0.56	16.8	14.8	1.96
Luol Deng	87	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	14.8	19.2	-4.37	15.6	21.0	-5.39
Kirk Hinrich	59	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.40	-8	2	-10	14.6	15.9	-1.36	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Ben Gordon	70	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.40	-11	5	-16	15.2	14.8	0.38	16.2	15.1	1.07
Joe Smith	48	50	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	11	-28	15.2	14.9	0.30	15.9	15.8	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 109, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.05,0	91.8%
PHI 87, ORL 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.15,0.09,0	91.1%
CHI 93, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.43,0.28,0	91.0%