NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	116		Excitement	4.6 [907]		MVP	Tarence Kinsey (MEM): +16.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.2 [652]		LVP	Craig Smith (MIN): -9.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarence Kinsey	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	13	73%	0.16	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.01	-0.05	14	56%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	15	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	48%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Alexander Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	55%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Chucky Atkins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.01	0.06	15	74%	0.14	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.03	21	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bracey Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	10	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	-0.01	-0.09	8	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	13	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	27.3	15.3	23.2	1.6	30.4	123.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.4%

MEM +7.2%

MEM +6.6%

MEM +9.7%

MEM +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.4	122.1	98.9	104.5
season	15.1	15.4		105.1	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		105.8	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.3	14.0	13.9	15.6	14.4
MIN	17.0	13.7	18.2	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	72	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.10	25	-3	28	14.6	13.9	0.74	16.4	14.5	1.85
Tarence Kinsey	90	91	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.15	22	0	22	14.4	15.2	-0.81	15.8	18.5	-2.73
Pau Gasol	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	3	16	14.4	14.5	-0.06	15.6	16.8	-1.22
Hakim Warrick	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.13	16	6	10	15.1	13.5	1.58	15.6	16.2	-0.55
Dahntay Jones	79	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	7	8	14.8	12.7	2.02	15.5	17.7	-2.24
Alexander Johnson	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	15	-8	13.7	14.9	-1.23	15.4	16.2	-0.71
Stromile Swift	30	28	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	20	-18	14.1	14.6	-0.44	17.6	15.1	2.49
Junior Harrington	44	45	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	18	-14	13.6	15.1	-1.52	16.0	15.8	0.26

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	15	16	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-25	28	16.5	15.8	0.77	15.1	14.3	0.83
Bracey Wright	29	29	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.07	3	-25	28	16.0	15.8	0.12	15.5	14.0	1.56
Mike James	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.23	-11	-11	0	15.2	16.6	-1.41	13.8	15.0	-1.13
Rashad McCants	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.22	-11	-11	0	15.0	16.3	-1.31	15.1	14.1	0.99
Justin Reed	59	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-12	2	15.8	16.0	-0.19	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Craig Smith	55	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.17	-17	-5	-12	15.5	16.4	-0.85	15.1	13.5	1.57
Randy Foye	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-14	6	15.8	16.1	-0.27	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Ricky Davis	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.20	-23	1	-24	16.2	14.9	1.32	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Trenton Hassell	41	42	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	-5	-12	16.9	15.1	1.75	13.7	15.0	-1.37
Mark Blount	54	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	-3	-16	16.2	15.5	0.65	15.3	13.4	1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
ORL 104, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.6%
WAS 108, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%