NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	10.9 [41]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +94.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	93		Comeback	63.9 [23]		LVP	Malik Rose (NYK): -33.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.95	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.95	-0.03	0.98	-0.00	20	55%	1.10	6	-0.16	11	55%	-0.12
Nate Robinson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.28	0.07	0.21	-0.00	15	58%	0.31	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.05
Steve Francis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0	-0.03	0.03	0.01	16	56%	0.20	6	-0.20	11	73%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.08
Malik Rose	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.34	-0.09	-0.26	-0.02	10	42%	-0.19	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.07

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.4	0.40	0.05	0.36	0.01	15	58%	0.45	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.19	0.20	0.02	0.18	-0.00	8	55%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.06
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.01	19	58%	0.26	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	61%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.07	0.02	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.1	31.8	15.5	27.3	2.4	47.7	149.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +38.8%

CHA -2.6%

NYK +46.1%

CHA -37.8%

NYK +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.5	15.4	94.0	97.9	104.5
season	15.7	15.7		103.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	15.2	16.4	14.4	15.0
CHA	15.2	14.7	14.2	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	77	73	1.04	-0.54	1.59	0.87	6	-5	11	15.9	12.1	3.78	14.6	14.1	0.51
Nate Robinson	82	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-10	21	14.7	16.5	-1.78	14.6	13.7	0.96
Mardy Collins	93	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	-1	3	15.0	15.1	-0.11	14.4	15.7	-1.33
Steve Francis	98	93	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	15.2	6.0	9.22	14.5	12.0	2.54
Malik Rose	78	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.50	-1	2	-3	14.5	16.9	-2.34	14.6	14.2	0.38
Jerome James	11	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-3	7	10.6	15.6	-4.95	16.7	14.2	2.54
Channing Frye	27	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.19	-12	13	-25	16.9	14.4	2.53	13.6	14.8	-1.25
Jared Jeffries	34	32	-0.65	1.15	-1.81	-0.48	-6	7	-13	14.5	15.3	-0.86	13.7	14.9	-1.20

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	4	3	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.04	1	-2	3	14.0	14.5	-0.51	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Emeka Okafor	44	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-2	3	15.3	13.8	1.51	17.1	13.2	3.90
Adam Morrison	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	1	-3	15.5	14.4	1.08	10.4	15.4	-4.96
Ryan Hollins	2	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	1	-3	19.0	14.4	4.61	13.3	15.1	-1.76
Derek Anderson	71	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.46	12	-13	25	13.8	16.4	-2.53	15.4	14.0	1.31
Primoz Brezec	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	4	-9	15.1	14.4	0.69	9.5	15.7	-6.28
Alan Anderson	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	5	-11	15.8	13.8	1.96	12.8	16.1	-3.32
Raymond Felton	64	66	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.40	8	-9	17	13.6	16.3	-2.68	16.0	13.2	2.78
Jeff McInnis	31	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	8	-17	16.5	13.5	3.02	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Walter Herrmann	87	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-4	7	14.3	16.4	-2.06	15.5	11.3	4.16
Brevin Knight	67	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.54	5	-6	11	13.8	16.1	-2.30	16.0	12.5	3.48
Gerald Wallace	56	59	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.43	-11	10	-21	14.5	14.4	0.08	13.8	16.8	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.33,0.16,0	91.3%
HOU 98, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.17,0	91.2%
PHI 110, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.08,0	91.0%