NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	2.9 [1200]		MVP	Shelden Williams (ATL): +10.2%
Atlanta Hawks	118		Comeback	1.0 [714]		LVP	David Harrison (IND): -5.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	68%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	12	65%	0.07	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rawle Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	3	90%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Maceo Baston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.05	13	68%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	15	70%	0.11	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	12	66%	0.10	2	-0.02	14	93%	0.03
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	70%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	20	50%	0.08	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	33.6	16.6	32.3	2.7	29.0	144.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +19.7%

ATL +5.8%

ATL +13.2%

ATL +10.0%

ATL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	16.4	15.4	107.4	121.6	104.5
season	15.3	16.1		101.3	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	13.9	13.0	12.6	13.5
ATL	12.7	14.9	19.7	19.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rawle Marshall	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-22	28	11.2	13.9	-2.77	13.0	17.0	-3.95
Darrell Armstrong	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-19	22	9.0	13.9	-4.91	9.6	17.0	-7.38
Ike Diogu	54	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-16	16	13.1	14.2	-1.14	17.3	15.3	2.01
Orien Greene	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-15	14	12.8	13.8	-1.02	17.9	15.8	2.02
David Harrison	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-8	0	14.6	13.2	1.42	14.0	17.3	-3.31
Jamaal Tinsley	35	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-9	2	15.1	12.7	2.39	15.5	16.9	-1.47
Maceo Baston	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-17	18	12.3	14.7	-2.35	17.2	15.8	1.41
Troy Murphy	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	1	-18	14.6	12.7	1.90	16.8	16.1	0.70
Keith McLeod	50	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.14	-14	-2	-12	13.2	14.0	-0.78	17.7	14.9	2.77
Shawne Williams	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	-2	-12	13.1	14.1	-0.99	17.1	15.7	1.47
Mike Dunleavy	70	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	-1	-14	13.8	12.8	0.96	15.9	17.9	-1.99
Danny Granger	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-2	-12	14.7	12.0	2.77	16.1	16.8	-0.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.22	25	-9	34	16.0	17.8	-1.75	14.2	11.0	3.18
Josh Smith	92	90	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-1	18	16.3	18.4	-2.08	13.6	13.0	0.58
Shelden Williams	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	-2	20	15.9	19.6	-3.68	13.9	11.2	2.77
Tyronn Lue	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.08	17	-1	18	16.4	16.5	-0.13	14.2	11.3	2.90
Anthony Johnson	43	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.20	18	-2	20	16.8	16.1	0.62	13.2	13.8	-0.55
Solomon Jones	63	62	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	15	-14	16.8	15.6	1.19	13.4	13.8	-0.37
Royal Ivey	48	44	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.38	-12	28	-40	16.9	15.9	1.02	11.6	15.2	-3.64
Esteban Batista	7	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	20	-24	19.3	16.2	3.09	9.5	13.8	-4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHX 99, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	96.7%
MIL 92, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,1,0.99,1,1	96.6%