inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 88 Excitement8.5 [199] MVPJames Posey (MIA): +37.9%
Boston Celtics 85 Comeback10.2 [201] LVPGerald Green (BOS): -30.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0.380,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.380.110.280.01876%0.3800.001100%0.02
Antoine Walker0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.03-0.004100%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Eddie Jones0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,0.06,0.06-0.040.08-0.01736%0.181-0.1300%0.00
Jason Kapono0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00850%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.001100%0.072-0.092100%0.02
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.011845%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Gary Payton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.030.00250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Williams-0.140,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.090.011038%-0.101-0.031100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal-0.240,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24-0.00-0.24-0.001947%-0.102-0.14922%-0.18

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.13-0.02-0.011473%0.202-0.07580%0.01
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.120.120.000.10-0.01945%0.1200.00450%-0.07
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.090.090.030.070.00761%0.111-0.02425%-0.09
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01540%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Kevinn Pinkney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.0010%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Allan Ray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.080.001345%-0.061-0.03367%-0.05
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.00617%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.3-0.30-0.04-0.26-0.002542%-0.201-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.425.616.323.32.535.2130.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +33.6%
MIA +16.8%
MIA +10.5%
BOS -11.5%
MIA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game16.817.515.4104.8101.2104.5
season16.015.5102.4101.7
opponent15.315.6105.2104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.514.818.617.816.8
BOS18.715.819.316.517.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Posey54550.86-0.361.210.686-3917.515.61.9217.118.1-0.99
Udonis Haslem65660.57-0.070.650.377-41117.016.40.5317.417.5-0.06
Shaquille O'Neal57590.54-0.040.590.347-41117.615.12.5416.719.1-2.37
Eddie Jones57570.51-0.010.530.4812-117.715.12.5918.016.21.81
Jason Williams61610.410.090.320.3521117.215.71.5117.018.7-1.71
Antoine Walker2726-0.010.51-0.52-0.0103-315.217.6-2.4318.217.11.13
Gary Payton3029-0.020.52-0.540.15-69-1515.917.4-1.5017.817.30.52
Alonzo Mourning2725-0.040.54-0.590.07-47-1115.117.6-2.5419.116.72.37
Jason Kapono4242-0.320.82-1.15-0.3821115.817.9-2.1017.117.8-0.71

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allan Ray70710.58-1.081.650.377-101718.014.93.1117.016.10.89
Ryan Gomes5758-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-52-718.116.11.9216.617.3-0.74
Kevinn Pinkney2020-0.17-0.330.17-0.02-52-716.017.9-1.8414.317.6-3.26
Leon Powe5657-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.467-101717.317.8-0.5516.816.9-0.03
Gerald Green7070-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.440-3317.119.2-2.1117.314.62.63
Kendrick Perkins4846-0.560.06-0.63-0.33-85-1318.116.61.4217.815.72.10
Rajon Rondo5250-0.660.16-0.82-0.34-118-1917.417.6-0.1817.216.30.96
Sebastian Telfair4748-0.850.35-1.20-0.850-3316.718.4-1.6516.017.9-1.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.21,0.27,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.76,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 87, TOR 810.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.55,0.67,0.27,089.9%
PHX 118, BOS 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,089.9%
ORL 92, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.47,0.23,0.41,0.36,0.68,0.25,089.8%