inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 92 Excitement8.1 [255] MVPGrant Hill (ORL): +19.9%
Boston Celtics 89 Comeback2.1 [543] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -22.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Grant Hill0.200,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.20.100.120.021267%0.241-0.04367%-0.01
Trevor Ariza0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.130.030.07-0.03756%0.1300.00450%-0.06
Dwight Howard0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.01863%0.183-0.111164%-0.00
Darko Milicic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.00580%0.091-0.0600%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,0.020.04-0.010.011763%0.184-0.16450%-0.02
Keith Bogans0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00638%-0.012-0.041100%0.00
Tony Battie-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Keyon Dooling-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.060.00220%-0.081-0.031100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.07-0.01937%-0.101-0.011100%0.01

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.180.18-0.000.18-0.011156%0.222-0.043100%0.16
Kendrick Perkins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.020.10-0.02557%0.1400.0040%-0.04
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.00960%0.0700.002100%0.01
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.02-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.02664%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01843%-0.0200.00757%-0.04
Michael Olowokandi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12-0.120.02-0.130.011054%-0.081-0.04475%-0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.07-0.0050%-0.141-0.0300%0.00
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.22-0.22-0.08-0.110.032046%-0.015-0.226100%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.032.615.026.23.337.4141.7
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +63.6%
BOS -21.1%
ORL +15.8%
BOS -13.9%
ORL +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game16.515.815.4102.2101.1104.5
season15.915.5103.4101.7
opponent15.315.7105.2103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL17.014.717.317.016.5
BOS15.718.017.012.815.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Hill57540.75-0.250.990.4012-92116.217.0-0.7716.015.50.51
Jameer Nelson67630.70-0.200.900.449-61516.217.4-1.1815.616.5-0.89
Dwight Howard73700.67-0.170.850.448-51317.113.93.1715.815.9-0.13
Trevor Ariza37350.390.110.270.3612-116.016.9-0.8715.316.2-0.83
Hedo Turkoglu68650.290.210.090.35-25-716.915.31.6415.217.6-2.39
Bo Outlaw890.030.47-0.44-0.0321113.616.8-3.1720.615.35.25
Tony Battie37380.030.47-0.440.06-14-516.916.20.7416.115.60.51
Keith Bogans20190.020.48-0.470.13-47-1115.516.8-1.3014.616.2-1.54
Darko Milicic3435-0.050.55-0.60-0.0812-116.516.5-0.0716.815.21.59
Keyon Dooling2627-0.120.62-0.750.02-58-1316.216.6-0.3915.316.1-0.79
Carlos Arroyo2325-0.200.70-0.90-0.02-69-1517.416.21.1816.515.60.89

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Leon Powe44440.04-0.540.58-0.084-71116.814.82.0016.916.20.69
Michael Olowokandi1312-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-2117.515.51.9915.216.7-1.55
Gerald Green1010-0.12-0.380.270.03-52-720.315.35.0314.516.8-2.26
Brian Scalabrine1111-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-41-516.315.80.4917.016.40.56
Delonte West4852-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.498-111915.416.4-1.0716.416.7-0.30
Rajon Rondo3941-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.353-6915.016.5-1.5116.516.5-0.04
Sebastian Telfair4545-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-96-1516.814.91.9216.816.20.62
Ryan Gomes3334-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.21-30-315.216.2-1.0115.517.1-1.58
Paul Pierce7880-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.442-5715.320.3-5.0316.814.52.26
Wally Szczerbiak6162-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-30-314.917.9-2.9516.416.8-0.45
Kendrick Perkins5859-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.20-74-1116.215.20.9717.015.51.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.47,0.23,0.41,0.36,0.68,0.25,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 99, DET 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,091.5%
MIN 107, ORL 1050.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.69,0.42,091.5%
DAL 89, ATL 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.26,091.1%