NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	108		Excitement	5.4 [758]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +26.9%
Phoenix Suns	125		Comeback	7.4 [475]		LVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): -9.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	24	58%	0.11	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Nene	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	11	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	58%	0.11	5	-0.12	13	77%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	47%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	8	56%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.24	0.07	0.04	17	79%	0.32	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	0.00	16	59%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	7	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.01	0.05	11	79%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	69%	0.12	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	11	52%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	31.8	14.8	25.2	2.5	28.5	130.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.2%

DEN -6.3%

PHX +2.4%

PHX +9.0%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	13.3	15.4	109.1	123.8	104.5
season	14.0	13.8		105.8	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.3		105.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.2	16.8	15.7	14.3	15.5
PHX	14.2	12.0	11.0	16.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	10.7	15.7	-4.96	19.4	13.0	6.40
Yakhouba Diawara	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-14	11	10.7	15.7	-4.96	19.4	13.0	6.40
Eduardo Najera	18	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-17	17	14.8	15.7	-0.89	14.5	13.0	1.54
Nene	75	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-10	3	15.0	17.0	-2.03	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Linas Kleiza	61	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-9	1	15.1	16.2	-1.14	13.1	13.6	-0.45
Allen Iverson	89	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-7	-3	15.7	13.4	2.34	13.4	12.6	0.80
Carmelo Anthony	79	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	-4	-9	16.1	13.1	3.01	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Steve Blake	83	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.06	-20	3	-23	15.8	13.9	1.87	12.8	15.3	-2.47
Marcus Camby	82	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.02	-21	4	-25	15.8	14.3	1.46	13.3	13.3	0.00

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	73	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.08	26	-9	35	13.1	13.8	-0.65	14.8	17.1	-2.31
Raja Bell	79	78	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.15	26	-9	35	12.8	15.0	-2.15	16.0	13.7	2.27
Shawn Marion	85	85	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	-3	23	13.5	12.1	1.42	15.7	14.4	1.25
Steve Nash	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	2	13	12.6	15.4	-2.84	16.1	13.4	2.75
Boris Diaw	55	52	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	16	-15	13.7	12.9	0.78	14.5	16.6	-2.12
James Jones	31	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.18	-4	21	-25	13.9	13.1	0.80	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.17	8	9	-1	13.8	12.7	1.11	15.4	15.6	-0.14
Kurt Thomas	40	39	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	18	-19	13.8	13.0	0.88	16.1	15.1	1.03
Marcus Banks	8	7	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	23	-29	13.4	13.3	0.06	13.6	15.7	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 111, UTA 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
TOR 103, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
HOU 103, DAL 121	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%