NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	5.6 [711]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +30.7%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	2.1 [984]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -12.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.02	9	70%	0.11	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	15	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	90%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	6	71%	0.05	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	0.02	7	-0.14	11	82%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.22	0.11	0.03	25	73%	0.37	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	0.00	18	51%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	16	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	4	55%	-0.00	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	25.2	15.6	26.2	2.6	32.2	133.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +10.7%

CHI +7.0%

CHI +1.8%

CHI +25.0%

CHI +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	16.0	15.4	101.1	113.6	104.5
season	16.7	14.5		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.7	18.6	16.9	18.4	16.8
CHI	15.6	16.5	16.6	15.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	25	25	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.03	6	-17	23	13.9	17.9	-4.04	15.6	16.1	-0.44
Sergio Rodriguez	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-13	15	12.6	18.1	-5.46	16.4	15.8	0.56
Fred Jones	37	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-6	1	15.7	17.5	-1.85	16.7	15.4	1.35
Dan Dickau	14	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	21.3	15.9	5.37	16.9	15.8	1.07
Travis Outlaw	45	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-6	1	15.3	18.3	-2.95	15.6	16.4	-0.77
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	17.3	15.4	1.97	15.7	16.5	-0.76
Jamaal Magloire	34	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	16.8	16.8	0.03	16.1	15.8	0.31
Zach Randolph	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	17.0	16.1	0.97	16.1	15.6	0.51
Jarrett Jack	67	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	2	-15	18.1	12.6	5.46	15.8	16.4	-0.56
Martell Webster	71	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	3	-17	17.6	13.2	4.38	15.7	16.9	-1.24

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-4	19	16.5	13.4	3.08	17.8	11.2	6.61
Ben Wallace	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-2	15	16.1	14.0	2.15	17.0	14.4	2.64
Luol Deng	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	-2	15	16.6	10.3	6.26	16.6	18.1	-1.49
Tyrus Thomas	38	36	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	17.0	15.1	1.89	18.1	15.9	2.22
Ben Gordon	44	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	2	7	16.7	15.2	1.45	18.9	14.3	4.64
Chris Duhon	47	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	9	-7	15.4	16.6	-1.18	14.2	19.3	-5.14
P.J. Brown	37	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	10	-9	15.8	16.1	-0.29	17.3	16.4	0.92
Viktor Khryapa	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	2.7	16.4	-13.76	14.7	16.8	-2.18
Malik Allen	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	13	-15	14.0	16.1	-2.15	14.4	17.0	-2.64
Adrian Griffin	19	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	13	-15	13.6	16.6	-3.03	14.1	17.5	-3.42
Thabo Sefolosha	12	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	15	-19	12.2	16.5	-4.29	10.7	17.6	-6.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, MIA 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%
IND 88, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.9%