NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	4.9 [838]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +26.4%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.4 [1044]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -11.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.22	0.08	0.04	14	78%	0.26	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.02	17	67%	0.27	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.03	15	77%	0.26	8	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Devin Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	7	44%	0.04	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.10	0.04	6	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Josh Childress	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.04	8	81%	0.16	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	9	43%	-0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	19	46%	-0.02	3	-0.05	8	87%	-0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	6	56%	0.01	3	-0.12	13	77%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.7	30.2	16.0	26.2	2.5	37.2	144.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +69.7%

ATL -20.1%

DAL +1.2%

ATL -0.6%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.1	15.4	108.3	102.1	104.5
season	16.3	16.1		108.7	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.2		106.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	15.1	17.0	16.1	16.0
ATL	15.4	14.3	14.3	12.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	79	77	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.12	20	-13	33	15.7	17.5	-1.86	14.2	13.9	0.25
DeSagana Diop	54	54	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	4	-1	15.7	16.4	-0.72	14.3	14.0	0.30
Josh Howard	76	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-4	15	17.2	11.6	5.56	13.9	14.9	-0.91
Dirk Nowitzki	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-9	25	16.2	14.9	1.28	14.7	11.4	3.26
Jerry Stackhouse	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	7	-7	15.2	17.0	-1.86	13.2	15.5	-2.34
Devin Harris	60	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	6	-5	15.8	16.3	-0.44	14.8	13.1	1.67
Devean George	19	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	13	-19	14.4	16.4	-1.97	13.8	14.2	-0.47
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	6.0	16.1	-10.11	4.0	14.3	-10.26
Jose Juan Barea	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	9	-11	6.0	16.1	-10.11	4.0	14.3	-10.26
Erick Dampier	36	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	6	-5	17.6	15.0	2.53	14.7	13.8	0.88
Greg Buckner	20	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	14	-21	15.2	16.2	-0.95	13.5	14.3	-0.80

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	2	3	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-8	9	10.5	14.2	-3.73	7.3	16.3	-8.95
Salim Stoudamire	34	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	15.0	13.7	1.37	14.9	16.6	-1.62
Shelden Williams	21	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-5	3	14.4	14.1	0.36	13.5	16.7	-3.18
Anthony Johnson	52	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-9	11	13.8	14.5	-0.67	15.5	16.6	-1.01
Lorenzen Wright	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	0	-7	15.0	14.0	0.98	16.6	15.9	0.67
Zaza Pachulia	58	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-7	7	14.5	13.6	0.95	17.7	13.6	4.10
Tyronn Lue	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	0	-7	13.6	14.7	-1.06	15.4	16.7	-1.25
Marvin Williams	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-3	-1	14.1	14.3	-0.25	17.0	13.4	3.59
Josh Childress	92	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	14.1	15.0	-0.88	16.0	15.7	0.34
Josh Smith	84	87	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	6	-19	14.0	15.3	-1.27	16.0	16.2	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 117, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.7%
WAS 107, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.5%
POR 95, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	91.6%