NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	121		Excitement	7.2 [402]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +56.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	2.0 [734]		LVP	Dahntay Jones (MEM): -11.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.56	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.56	0.31	0.24	-0.02	37	65%	0.63	2	-0.06	18	94%	0.10
Shammond Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	6	64%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	62%	0.19	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	37%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	44%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.25	0.10	0.06	16	89%	0.32	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.06	0.03	23	73%	0.28	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	55%	0.06	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	14	46%	0.04	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	9	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.6	32.4	16.7	31.7	2.6	37.6	146.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.3%

LAL +16.1%

LAL +6.3%

LAL +21.2%

MEM -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	15.4	117.5	117.8	104.5
season	15.3	15.1		106.3	105.1
opponent	15.1	14.9		110.1	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	15.3	14.3	14.5	14.9
MEM	11.7	14.1	12.8	14.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	29	29	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-10	22	15.5	14.6	0.88	13.8	13.2	0.64
Kobe Bryant	98	96	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	14.7	18.6	-3.91	13.2	16.4	-3.22
Lamar Odom	92	92	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	-2	6	14.9	15.0	-0.13	13.1	15.8	-2.68
Shammond Williams	36	35	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-4	10	16.1	14.3	1.80	14.7	12.6	2.11
Andrew Bynum	13	13	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	-6	14	17.7	14.5	3.21	14.5	13.2	1.38
Kwame Brown	86	83	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.29	-6	8	-14	14.3	17.9	-3.66	13.0	14.9	-1.89
Smush Parker	72	71	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	6	-10	14.6	15.6	-1.09	12.9	14.4	-1.56
Ronny Turiaf	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	4	-6	16.0	14.7	1.31	15.8	12.9	2.84
Luke Walton	74	72	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	12	-22	14.6	15.5	-0.88	13.2	13.8	-0.64

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	8	10	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-3	4	14.9	13.2	1.67	22.0	14.1	7.88
Junior Harrington	26	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-3	4	13.8	13.2	0.58	15.9	14.5	1.44
Alexander Johnson	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	13.7	13.3	0.41	19.4	14.6	4.88
Dahntay Jones	38	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-9	16	14.4	12.7	1.78	13.2	16.0	-2.80
Mike Miller	86	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-8	14	13.7	11.4	2.27	14.9	14.8	0.08
Tarence Kinsey	13	12	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	8	-18	10.9	13.7	-2.77	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Rudy Gay	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	7	-16	12.7	14.3	-1.64	16.1	13.2	2.90
Pau Gasol	95	96	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.41	1	-3	4	13.3	13.5	-0.17	14.3	23.3	-9.01
Chucky Atkins	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-1	0	13.2	13.9	-0.67	14.7	15.4	-0.65
Hakim Warrick	92	93	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	1	-4	13.2	14.9	-1.70	14.4	19.3	-4.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 111, BKN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
SAS 87, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0	92.9%
DAL 112, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	92.8%