inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 103 Excitement4.0 [1021] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +17.2%
Washington Wizards 125 Comeback1.1 [1123] LVPTyson Chandler (NOK): -8.2%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.110,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.021078%0.173-0.067100%0.03
Desmond Mason0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.010.00565%0.081-0.027100%0.04
Marc Jackson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01771%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Bobby Jackson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.00862%0.031-0.0000%0.00
David West0.010,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.021650%0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Rasual Butler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.010.04764%0.0100.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Cedric Simmons0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.000.000.01644%-0.0100.00475%0.01
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.07930%-0.012-0.022100%0.01
Tyson Chandler-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.03825%-0.032-0.0500%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.200.010.031871%0.182-0.016100%0.02
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.140.020.011175%0.1500.002100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.01-0.001570%0.163-0.0700%0.00
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.030.046100%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.001050%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03837%0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.000.02390%0.042-0.03450%-0.03
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.032100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.00643%0.0100.0020%-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01844%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.02217%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00050%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.429.615.626.22.525.3124.7
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +53.4%
NOK -19.8%
WAS +9.3%
WAS +3.9%
WAS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKWASNBANOKWASNBA
this game15.314.815.4107.3131.6104.5
season16.014.8102.8107.8
opponent15.315.3108.7104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOK13.415.416.916.015.3
WAS13.813.914.417.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hilton Armstrong11120.00-0.500.50-0.124-263012.115.7-3.6419.914.15.81
Cedric Simmons11120.00-0.500.50-0.124-263012.115.7-3.6419.914.15.81
Jannero Pargo3032-0.13-0.370.250.02-5-171215.315.3-0.0216.614.02.64
Rasual Butler3838-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-11016.614.42.1816.313.92.41
Marc Jackson2828-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-6-161016.614.81.8314.714.9-0.23
Devin Brown6059-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-161014.416.8-2.3915.014.60.42
Bobby Jackson3636-0.29-0.21-0.080.18-16-6-1016.814.42.3914.615.0-0.42
Tyson Chandler7068-0.32-0.18-0.140.27-20-2-1815.215.7-0.5213.817.4-3.53
Desmond Mason5857-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-11014.416.6-2.1813.916.3-2.41
Chris Paul6663-0.37-0.13-0.250.12-17-5-1215.315.30.0214.016.6-2.64
David West7270-0.47-0.03-0.440.29-264-3015.913.52.4714.116.8-2.66

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas70720.450.050.40-0.3126-43014.216.7-2.5515.614.60.97
Antawn Jamison58600.440.060.37-0.061751214.116.1-2.0314.916.1-1.19
DeShawn Stevenson57580.340.160.180.051012-213.916.3-2.4114.416.6-2.18
Andray Blatche60620.340.160.180.19517-1214.715.1-0.4314.716.4-1.70
Brendan Haywood35370.240.26-0.02-0.03913-414.115.3-1.2015.115.4-0.33
Antonio Daniels41410.210.29-0.08-0.17139415.814.11.6916.414.51.88
Calvin Booth24240.160.34-0.17-0.25148614.814.9-0.0717.014.82.19
Jarvis Hayes38380.160.34-0.18-0.191210216.313.92.4116.614.42.18
Darius Songaila38370.070.43-0.36-0.221012-214.814.9-0.0415.914.90.99
Michael Ruffin16160.060.44-0.380.12-224-2617.914.23.6511.916.0-4.05
Etan Thomas14130.030.47-0.440.03022-2214.015.0-0.9916.815.11.68
Roger Mason Jr.24220.000.49-0.490.12-426-3017.114.13.0514.515.5-1.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 88, DEN 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
LAL 68, DET 880.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
IND 80, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%