NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	7.6 [335]		MVP	Chris Webber (DET): +26.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	1.6 [810]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -38.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26	0.15	0.14	0.02	13	77%	0.31	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.01	10	56%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.01	12	64%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Carlos Delfino	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.01	1	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.00	0.11	-0.04	11	67%	0.23	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.01	0.03	12	84%	0.19	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.29,-0.15,-0.39	-0.39	-0.07	-0.31	0.00	24	48%	-0.12	6	-0.26	8	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.6	29.6	13.8	23.5	2.0	36.1	128.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +29.6%

DET +5.2%

SEA -14.6%

DET +21.3%

DET +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SEA	NBA	DET	SEA	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.4	109.8	103.2	104.5
season	16.8	15.4		106.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.3	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.0	15.1	19.0	16.1	16.5
SEA	15.3	13.2	14.5	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	69	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-6	16	16.1	17.7	-1.64	15.0	13.4	1.61
Richard Hamilton	72	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-3	10	15.6	19.7	-4.19	15.0	12.7	2.31
Antonio McDyess	31	32	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-7	18	15.4	17.0	-1.68	16.1	13.7	2.38
Chauncey Billups	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	16.7	15.9	0.74	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Tayshaun Prince	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	0	4	16.8	14.9	1.90	14.4	14.9	-0.43
Rasheed Wallace	70	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.34	-5	9	-14	17.1	14.3	2.82	13.8	17.0	-3.25
Carlos Delfino	29	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	4	-4	17.1	16.2	0.88	13.6	15.0	-1.40
Ronald Murray	28	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	16.9	16.3	0.66	15.4	14.1	1.29
Jason Maxiell	14	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	12	-20	17.6	16.3	1.30	12.7	14.9	-2.13

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	8	7	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-6	8	7.2	15.2	-7.95	11.3	16.9	-5.61
Mickael Gelabale	6	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	4	-12	17.3	14.3	3.00	8.0	17.1	-9.06
Rashard Lewis	79	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-7	10	14.0	17.3	-3.35	17.1	12.8	4.22
Earl Watson	79	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-7	10	14.0	17.3	-3.35	17.1	12.8	4.22
Chris Wilcox	74	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-5	6	14.1	16.1	-2.01	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Ray Allen	82	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-8	12	14.4	15.6	-1.22	16.9	13.5	3.32
Nick Collison	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-5	6	14.8	14.2	0.59	16.6	16.2	0.45
Mike Wilks	15	13	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	3	-10	17.3	14.0	3.35	12.8	17.1	-4.22
Damien Wilkins	21	18	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	3	-10	16.3	14.0	2.33	14.9	16.9	-1.96
Johan Petro	49	47	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	8	-20	16.1	12.8	3.26	17.0	15.9	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.19,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, BOS 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	93.4%
SAC 98, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.42,0	91.9%
CHH 97, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	91.8%