NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	81		Excitement	6.6 [514]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +19.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	13.1 [193]		LVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): -23.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.09	0.11	-0.02	-0.01	26	63%	0.26	5	-0.17	7	100%	0.06
Shawne Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	11	42%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	10	44%	-0.05	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.05
Jeff Foster	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	19%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	9	37%	-0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	24	53%	0.22	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.01	13	52%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Mike James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.22	-0.03	-0.01	11	13%	-0.15	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	33.3	15.5	23.4	2.5	37.4	136.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.7%

MIN +24.4%

IND -10.7%

MIN +26.5%

MIN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	15.4	91.0	95.6	104.5
season	15.3	15.4		101.3	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	15.5	16.1	16.6	15.6
MIN	16.5	18.0	13.9	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Orien Greene	14	13	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-7	9	14.9	15.7	-0.75	19.0	16.2	2.79
Jeff Foster	57	55	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-9	13	16.0	14.8	1.12	15.9	17.7	-1.71
Troy Murphy	66	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.27	9	-14	23	15.4	16.0	-0.65	17.4	14.3	3.10
Shawne Williams	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	2	-9	18.0	14.7	3.30	17.2	16.4	0.76
David Harrison	15	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	4	-13	15.3	15.6	-0.27	14.1	17.1	-3.02
Darrell Armstrong	28	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	0	-5	14.7	16.0	-1.29	17.5	16.1	1.38
Jamaal Tinsley	68	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-6	7	15.7	15.1	0.61	16.8	16.0	0.88
Danny Granger	67	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-5	5	14.7	18.0	-3.30	16.2	18.0	-1.81
Mike Dunleavy	68	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	3	-11	15.9	14.4	1.48	15.6	20.3	-4.74
Ike Diogu	40	41	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.42	-12	7	-19	15.3	15.7	-0.38	17.6	15.8	1.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	43	41	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.40	15	-10	25	17.3	16.0	1.37	15.3	15.8	-0.45
Rashad McCants	49	49	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.31	18	-13	31	17.4	15.6	1.84	17.2	13.5	3.70
Randy Foye	56	55	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-5	15	17.5	15.2	2.31	16.7	13.6	3.10
Kevin Garnett	81	80	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	16.0	22.2	-6.23	15.9	12.3	3.59
Marko Jaric	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-3	11	16.1	19.2	-3.13	15.3	16.6	-1.22
Mark Madsen	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	22.2	16.0	6.23	12.3	15.9	-3.59
Mike James	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	7	-9	14.9	16.9	-1.96	17.7	15.2	2.49
Troy Hudson	27	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	9	-13	15.5	17.1	-1.56	13.6	16.4	-2.80
Mark Blount	46	47	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.06	-10	15	-25	16.2	17.0	-0.85	15.9	15.1	0.79
Ricky Davis	53	52	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.06	-15	20	-35	16.4	16.9	-0.48	13.4	18.6	-5.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.78,0.84,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.43,0.58,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.92,0.91,0.96,1	92.8%
GSW 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.5%
DEN 102, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	92.4%