NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	112		Excitement	8.2 [243]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +43.5%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	108		Comeback	1.0 [485]		LVP	Desmond Mason (NOK): -9.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.43	0.03	0.38	-0.03	15	58%	0.51	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.3,0.3	0.13	0.17	0.00	12	72%	0.35	2	-0.05	12	58%	-0.06
Eddie House	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.09	0.18	-0.00	7	86%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	67%	0.10	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	0.00	16	63%	0.29	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	-0.04	0.18	0.01	10	57%	0.31	5	-0.18	3	33%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.00	6	86%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	19	62%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	58%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	18	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	30.5	16.0	26.1	1.7	49.1	150.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +59.8%

NOK -10.4%

NOK -15.2%

NJN +6.9%

NJN +8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOK	NBA	NJN	NOK	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.4	117.9	114.9	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		103.1	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.7	14.5	15.0	15.6	15.2
NOK	14.9	13.7	18.6	14.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	56	56	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-9	22	14.5	16.2	-1.70	15.7	14.7	1.07
Vince Carter	78	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-5	14	15.1	15.5	-0.36	15.7	13.2	2.47
Jason Kidd	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	1	2	15.3	14.7	0.58	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Mikki Moore	69	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	3	-2	15.4	14.7	0.72	15.7	14.4	1.30
Eddie House	42	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	2	0	16.3	14.3	1.94	14.8	15.7	-0.85
Marcus Williams	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	-3	10	14.6	15.4	-0.75	15.1	15.4	-0.22
Josh Boone	25	23	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	15.2	15.2	0.08	15.4	15.3	0.12
Hassan Adams	2	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	4	-4	0.0	15.5	-15.51	16.0	15.3	0.71
Antoine Wright	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	0.0	15.3	-15.34	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Bostjan Nachbar	45	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	10	-16	14.7	15.6	-0.97	13.6	16.8	-3.21
Jason Collins	56	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.12	-12	16	-28	16.2	13.7	2.48	15.6	14.9	0.64

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	56	59	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-9	14	15.8	14.6	1.16	15.4	14.7	0.69
Bobby Jackson	50	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-13	22	14.3	16.4	-2.09	15.4	15.0	0.42
Marc Jackson	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.5	-1.15	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Linton Johnson	32	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-2	0	15.6	15.1	0.45	15.3	15.1	0.20
Rasual Butler	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	5	-14	14.8	15.4	-0.52	13.3	15.5	-2.17
Tyson Chandler	65	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-5	6	16.0	13.7	2.33	15.9	13.5	2.37
Jannero Pargo	30	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	6	-16	14.3	15.8	-1.47	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Chris Paul	74	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.52	2	-6	8	15.3	15.3	-0.00	14.9	16.2	-1.22
David West	73	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	-1	-2	15.3	15.4	-0.11	15.5	14.2	1.30
Devin Brown	64	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	6	-16	15.6	14.7	0.83	15.1	15.3	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 81, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.18,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.08,0	91.6%
DAL 89, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.26,0	91.4%
SAC 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.02,0.02,0	91.0%