NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	3.6 [1078]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +13.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	80		Comeback	1.3 [870]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -10.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.03	0.05	12	85%	0.19	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	12	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Antonio McDyess	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	9	74%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	13	31%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	56%	0.02	5	-0.10	10	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	12	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.03	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	12	39%	-0.03	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	27.8	16.0	29.0	2.0	30.2	128.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +18.0%

DET +6.4%

DET +6.1%

DET +16.4%

DET +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	17.5	16.2	15.4	115.3	93.0	104.5
season	16.8	15.7		106.1	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		103.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.8	17.1	17.5	18.5	17.5
LAC	17.5	15.6	16.0	15.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	60	61	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.09	26	-8	34	17.6	17.0	0.61	17.3	13.6	3.70
Chauncey Billups	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	-1	20	17.5	17.3	0.20	16.5	15.4	1.00
Richard Hamilton	65	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-1	20	16.9	19.2	-2.33	16.3	15.9	0.42
Tayshaun Prince	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	6	6	17.6	17.1	0.50	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Chris Webber	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	8	2	17.2	18.4	-1.16	16.1	16.6	-0.56
Carlos Delfino	27	28	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	12	-6	17.1	17.6	-0.47	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Ronald Murray	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	20	-22	18.4	16.8	1.56	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Antonio McDyess	44	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	18	-18	17.6	17.3	0.30	15.1	17.4	-2.31

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Davis	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	9.0	16.3	-7.31	17.5	17.5	0.03
Aaron Williams	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-14	10	17.2	16.2	1.04	19.2	17.4	1.84
Sam Cassell	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-17	16	16.7	16.0	0.73	18.7	16.9	1.85
Tim Thomas	45	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-12	6	15.8	16.7	-0.84	19.1	15.8	3.38
Cuttino Mobley	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-5	-8	15.5	18.2	-2.70	17.7	16.9	0.82
Corey Maggette	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-12	-6	-6	16.2	16.5	-0.31	17.1	21.4	-4.31
Chris Kaman	46	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-5	-8	16.8	15.5	1.35	16.2	19.1	-2.95
Elton Brand	75	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-5	-8	16.1	17.0	-0.89	17.2	18.9	-1.71
Quinton Ross	31	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-8	-2	17.1	15.7	1.32	17.4	17.5	-0.16
Jason Hart	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.10	-18	0	-18	16.4	15.9	0.48	17.2	18.0	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 105, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0	96.1%
HOU 137, BKN 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAC 116, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%