NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	7.0 [443]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +26.1%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	3.0 [266]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -17.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.16	-0.00	13	69%	0.34	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	53%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.04	16	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Joe Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Kyle Korver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	11	48%	-0.04	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	11	68%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	62%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.00	14	55%	0.06	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	17	50%	-0.02	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	30.3	15.6	22.1	2.4	35.1	132.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +3.0%

PHI +20.8%

PHI +5.5%

PHI +19.9%

PHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	16.1	15.4	109.9	104.3	104.5
season	15.5	15.3		101.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.3	15.4	14.8	14.8	15.3
IND	16.4	15.9	17.2	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	80	80	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-11	26	15.7	12.5	3.17	16.1	16.1	0.07
Andre Iguodala	79	81	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.31	14	-10	24	15.4	14.9	0.48	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Andre Miller	81	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-8	20	15.2	16.4	-1.20	16.2	15.9	0.25
Kyle Korver	45	47	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.50	-7	11	-18	14.4	16.2	-1.80	15.5	16.8	-1.33
Joe Smith	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.48	-11	15	-26	15.2	15.5	-0.29	15.1	17.1	-2.02
Steven Hunter	56	57	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	-2	8	15.4	15.2	0.16	17.4	14.1	3.36
Willie Green	60	58	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	5	-6	15.5	15.1	0.40	16.2	16.0	0.27
Kevin Ollie	10	13	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	12	-20	16.4	15.2	1.20	15.9	16.2	-0.25

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	17	18	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-15	26	15.9	16.2	-0.32	15.8	15.2	0.63
Orien Greene	41	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-12	20	16.6	15.8	0.85	15.7	15.1	0.63
Keith McLeod	50	50	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-11	18	15.3	17.2	-1.93	14.8	16.0	-1.26
Jeff Foster	38	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.16	-11	7	-18	17.1	15.5	1.64	15.8	15.0	0.83
Ike Diogu	59	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-9	14	16.3	15.8	0.46	15.8	14.5	1.28
Mike Dunleavy	70	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.9	16.8	-0.89	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Darrell Armstrong	45	44	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	7	-18	16.2	16.1	0.16	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Danny Granger	73	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	6	-16	16.1	16.4	-0.29	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Troy Murphy	67	66	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.32	-13	9	-22	16.1	16.2	-0.08	15.2	15.8	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, MEM 73	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.66,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.03,0,0	91.9%
DAL 93, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.22,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.02,0	91.5%
UTA 104, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.23,0.08,0	91.5%