NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	13.3 [10]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +62.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	20.8 [81]		LVP	Maurice Evans (LAL): -34.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38	0.07	0.28	-0.03	30	55%	0.47	4	-0.08	13	85%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	4	73%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.08	1	-0.07	4	50%	0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.10	0.05	-0.04	15	41%	0.06	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Smush Parker	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.11	0.02	14	63%	0.11	3	-0.18	10	60%	-0.14
Kwame Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35	-0.12	-0.24	-0.02	11	21%	-0.30	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.36,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.62,0.62,0.62	0.62	0.01	0.60	-0.02	23	57%	0.96	6	-0.33	12	100%	0.23
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.14	0.01	13	60%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.02	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.14	0.00	8	67%	0.09	3	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.03	-0.13	0.04	20	53%	-0.05	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	29.6	2.6	29.2	15.8	29.2	2.4	39.2	2.4	20.0	1.7	16.0	188.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.2%

MIN +22.2%

LAL -19.5%

LAL -0.9%

MIN +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	13.9	15.4	92.2	99.2	104.5
season	15.3	15.4		106.3	101.9
opponent	15.6	14.9		105.8	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.4	15.1	14.9	18.5	15.2	15.8
MIN	12.3	15.5	14.5	12.8	14.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	28	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-11	12	16.3	15.7	0.65	16.0	13.2	2.82
Andrew Bynum	77	78	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-15	20	15.0	17.4	-2.35	14.9	12.0	2.89
Ronny Turiaf	13	13	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-13	16	16.8	15.7	1.15	12.5	14.1	-1.57
Sasha Vujacic	14	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-6	2	18.3	15.5	2.80	11.6	14.3	-2.74
Kobe Bryant	108	109	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-9	8	15.4	22.0	-6.63	14.2	10.8	3.41
Aaron McKie	19	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	17.1	15.6	1.53	15.4	13.6	1.76
Brian Cook	97	98	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	16.2	14.0	2.19	14.0	13.7	0.22
Maurice Evans	93	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-1	-8	15.6	16.8	-1.25	13.5	15.7	-2.22
Kwame Brown	43	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	5	-20	16.4	15.5	0.98	13.0	14.5	-1.41
Smush Parker	88	88	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.30	-11	1	-12	15.7	16.3	-0.65	13.2	16.0	-2.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	45	43	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-3	16	14.5	13.6	0.94	16.0	15.8	0.20
Randy Foye	52	51	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	1	8	14.0	13.8	0.19	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Kevin Garnett	105	102	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	13.7	15.8	-2.15	16.0	14.6	1.35
Ricky Davis	113	112	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	3	4	14.2	8.2	5.99	15.6	22.2	-6.65
Mark Blount	97	98	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	9	-8	14.1	13.0	1.13	15.4	17.9	-2.51
Marko Jaric	74	73	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.09	5	5	0	13.0	15.5	-2.46	16.1	15.3	0.80
Craig Smith	34	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.12	6	4	2	14.1	13.9	0.22	16.5	15.6	0.93
Troy Hudson	48	47	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	12	-14	13.7	14.1	-0.31	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Mike James	22	22	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.23	-2	12	-14	14.7	13.8	0.92	18.5	15.2	3.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.24,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.12,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.81,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.83,1	85.8%
SAC 109, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.46,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.83,1	85.8%
PHX 115, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.45,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.71,1	85.7%