NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	4.2 [973]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +6.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	4.0 [402]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -15.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Eddie House	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	8%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	14	37%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	20	22%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	13	71%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	66%	0.11	5	-0.07	10	80%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	20	49%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	29%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	11	46%	0.02	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	24.6	15.7	25.3	2.6	30.2	123.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.3%

PHI +1.0%

PHI +14.2%

NJN -13.9%

PHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	15.9	15.4	90.5	103.1	104.5
season	15.4	15.5		103.1	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	11.7	17.1	14.8	13.5	14.3
PHI	17.1	12.9	16.5	17.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	44	44	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	14.5	14.1	0.38	14.9	16.7	-1.86
Bernard Robinson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	4.0	14.6	-10.59	17.7	15.8	1.83
Josh Boone	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	4.0	14.6	-10.59	17.7	15.8	1.83
Jason Kidd	76	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-15	17	13.6	16.8	-3.17	15.9	15.8	0.08
Hassan Adams	56	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-16	19	14.2	14.3	-0.14	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Vince Carter	74	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-9	5	14.5	13.5	1.00	16.4	14.3	2.05
Eddie House	39	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	13.6	14.7	-1.04	16.5	15.4	1.07
Bostjan Nachbar	52	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	3	-19	14.2	14.3	-0.09	16.4	15.3	1.04
Marcus Williams	25	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.17	-19	6	-25	15.4	13.9	1.50	15.0	16.2	-1.25
Mikki Moore	65	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	2	-17	14.6	13.5	1.15	16.0	15.7	0.31
Clifford Robinson	38	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	8	-29	15.9	13.2	2.74	15.2	16.4	-1.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	65	63	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-5	23	15.2	17.4	-2.20	14.3	14.2	0.05
Joe Smith	55	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	-5	23	14.7	17.5	-2.74	14.6	13.8	0.75
Lou Williams	24	24	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	4	5	16.1	15.8	0.31	15.5	13.8	1.72
Andre Iguodala	85	84	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	7	-1	16.1	14.0	2.14	14.4	13.5	0.90
Willie Green	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	11	-9	17.1	13.4	3.73	13.5	15.7	-2.26
Steven Hunter	52	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	7	-1	15.6	16.2	-0.61	14.8	13.6	1.14
Samuel Dalembert	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	9	-5	16.5	15.1	1.37	14.4	14.0	0.36
Andre Miller	79	78	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	7	-1	15.7	17.0	-1.34	14.1	15.1	-1.05
Bobby Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	17.7	15.8	1.83	4.0	14.6	-10.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1	95.1%
LAC 93, BKN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 109, BOS 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%