NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	7.0 [450]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +31.3%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	26.9 [129]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -18.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.08	0.19	-0.04	18	68%	0.41	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	18	61%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	12	42%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.06	0.04	22	43%	-0.06	4	-0.12	10	70%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.02	9	89%	0.24	5	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	12	57%	0.06	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.09	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	24	56%	0.08	7	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	14	37%	-0.04	2	-0.09	7	71%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.6	16.3	23.6	2.4	26.6	123.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +31.4%

IND -0.5%

IND -15.1%

PHX +37.3%

IND -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	16.1	15.4	107.3	95.8	104.5
season	13.8	15.3		112.2	101.3
opponent	15.3	16.0		103.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	14.0	12.4	15.9	13.9
IND	16.5	15.4	16.4	16.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	72	73	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.19	20	-9	29	14.0	13.7	0.29	16.1	16.0	0.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	87	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-6	23	13.7	15.7	-1.97	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Shawn Marion	81	80	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-6	23	13.8	14.2	-0.37	16.0	16.6	-0.54
James Jones	36	37	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	13.9	13.9	0.05	17.6	15.2	2.45
Raja Bell	84	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	0	11	13.8	14.2	-0.42	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Steve Nash	74	74	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.26	-3	14	-17	14.3	12.6	1.68	15.7	17.5	-1.80
Boris Diaw	13	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	13	-15	12.3	14.1	-1.82	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Kurt Thomas	33	32	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.01	-15	26	-41	14.2	13.7	0.50	16.2	16.1	0.16

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	54	54	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.04	9	-20	29	15.5	16.9	-1.32	13.7	14.1	-0.33
Rawle Marshall	13	13	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-13	15	17.4	15.9	1.47	13.6	13.9	-0.31
Darrell Armstrong	78	79	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-18	25	15.2	19.9	-4.65	14.3	12.1	2.22
Jermaine O'Neal	80	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-14	17	15.4	19.8	-4.44	14.3	11.5	2.79
Danny Granger	73	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-10	9	15.7	17.5	-1.79	14.5	12.2	2.29
Mike Dunleavy	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	15.3	18.3	-3.01	13.6	14.6	-0.91
Ike Diogu	14	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-1	-9	19.9	15.5	4.38	11.6	14.2	-2.63
Keith McLeod	18	17	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	7	-25	19.9	15.2	4.65	12.1	14.3	-2.22
Jeff Foster	39	38	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.04	-19	8	-27	17.7	15.1	2.61	13.3	14.3	-1.03
Marquis Daniels	41	42	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.19	-22	11	-33	17.3	15.2	2.10	14.0	13.8	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 106, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0	92.0%
CHI 91, CHA 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.01,0.03,0,0	91.3%
PHX 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.04,0	91.2%