NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	6.0 [626]		MVP	Luther Head (HOU): +16.0%
Sacramento Kings	95		Comeback	10.0 [68]		LVP	Ryan Bowen (HOU): -7.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	4	90%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	9	55%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	24	51%	0.09	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	58%	0.18	6	-0.16	10	90%	0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.04	7	68%	0.04	4	-0.09	11	91%	0.02
Ryan Bowen	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	65%	0.05	1	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	18	57%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	13	60%	0.11	4	-0.16	9	56%	-0.07
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.12	-0.00	14	66%	0.10	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	35.1	3.0	30.1	19.4	29.5	3.5	40.5	161.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +18.9%

HOU +13.4%

HOU +0.7%

HOU +12.5%

HOU +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	17.3	13.7	15.6	114.0	102.2	104.4
season	16.1	15.3		99.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.3	17.4	19.1	15.5	17.3
SAC	13.3	13.3	14.5	13.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	39	38	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-5	21	16.9	17.5	-0.62	12.2	14.7	-2.49
Stromile Swift	54	54	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-6	23	16.0	19.1	-3.09	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Derek Anderson	60	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.20	13	-2	15	16.6	18.5	-1.90	14.3	12.7	1.55
Tracy McGrady	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	0	11	17.1	19.6	-2.50	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Yao Ming	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	8	-5	18.3	14.3	4.00	13.1	15.3	-2.20
Dikembe Mutombo	18	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	4	3	14.8	17.9	-3.08	16.6	13.0	3.60
David Wesley	65	67	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.16	4	7	-3	17.9	15.7	2.26	14.6	11.5	3.01
Juwan Howard	42	44	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.11	-5	16	-21	18.7	16.1	2.66	14.0	13.4	0.55
Ryan Bowen	32	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	22	-33	17.5	17.1	0.42	12.8	14.2	-1.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	7	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-12	13	9.6	14.0	-4.48	17.9	17.2	0.67
Kenny Thomas	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.10	1	-12	13	13.8	13.7	0.13	18.9	16.5	2.42
Brian Skinner	20	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-7	3	12.7	14.0	-1.22	16.6	17.4	-0.85
Bonzi Wells	82	84	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-16	21	13.4	16.2	-2.80	17.5	15.0	2.50
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-8	5	13.3	15.4	-2.15	16.9	18.7	-1.79
Mike Bibby	79	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-7	3	12.9	18.1	-5.22	17.7	14.9	2.83
Francisco Garcia	16	14	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	5	-21	15.4	13.4	2.01	16.5	17.4	-0.89
Jason Hart	16	16	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	19.3	12.5	6.77	15.8	17.6	-1.75
Brad Miller	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-4	-3	14.0	12.7	1.22	17.4	16.6	0.85
Peja Stojakovic	67	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	7	-25	14.2	12.5	1.63	16.6	19.1	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.09,0.03,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.1,0.04,0	93.1%
SAS 92, BOS 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.78,0.66,0.48,0.61,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.3%
PHX 103, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.01,0	92.0%