NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	7.2 [397]		MVP	Smush Parker (LAL): +32.6%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.6 [437]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -21.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.00	13	92%	0.41	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	13	63%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	11	36%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	21	53%	0.06	4	-0.12	24	87%	0.11

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	15	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	13	45%	-0.03	1	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22	-0.22	-0.15	-0.04	0.03	19	22%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	36.3	15.8	25.6	1.0	37.1	142.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.6%

LAL +12.9%

UTA -18.0%

UTA -1.3%

LAL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.4	117.2	108.0	104.5
season	15.3	15.9		106.3	107.4
opponent	15.0	14.9		104.9	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	14.0	18.9	17.4	16.2
UTA	18.5	15.5	18.0	16.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	70	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-4	16	16.3	15.6	0.73	16.7	17.7	-1.00
Maurice Evans	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	5	-2	16.9	14.4	2.43	16.1	19.0	-2.85
Smush Parker	65	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	3	2	16.2	16.1	0.11	16.2	19.0	-2.77
Kobe Bryant	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	16.5	12.5	4.04	16.7	19.1	-2.41
Andrew Bynum	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	6	-4	17.1	14.2	2.83	16.0	19.0	-2.95
Ronny Turiaf	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	4	0	14.8	16.8	-2.02	19.5	15.8	3.66
Shammond Williams	22	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	5	-2	16.1	16.2	-0.11	19.0	16.2	2.77
Brian Cook	33	32	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	4	0	14.8	17.0	-2.18	18.3	16.1	2.19
Aaron McKie	18	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	7	-6	13.2	17.0	-3.79	18.3	16.6	1.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	43	43	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-10	12	17.8	16.1	1.70	17.3	15.1	2.23
CJ Miles	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-11	14	15.1	17.1	-1.99	12.0	16.6	-4.59
Rafael Araujo	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-8	8	24.9	16.1	8.75	20.7	15.8	4.94
Carlos Boozer	58	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-14	20	14.7	21.3	-6.57	16.5	15.6	0.82
Dee Brown	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-3	-2	16.8	17.0	-0.17	12.7	16.8	-4.12
Ronnie Brewer	11	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-2	-4	18.9	16.6	2.26	10.9	17.1	-6.17
Jarron Collins	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-1	-6	17.7	16.8	0.82	11.5	16.8	-5.28
Andrei Kirilenko	52	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-8	8	15.6	19.0	-3.41	17.2	14.7	2.57
Mehmet Okur	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-7	6	16.0	19.8	-3.86	16.5	15.3	1.24
Derek Fisher	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-5	2	17.0	16.8	0.17	16.8	12.7	4.12
Paul Millsap	34	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	6	-20	20.5	14.7	5.81	15.6	16.6	-1.05
Matt Harpring	60	59	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.24	-15	7	-22	17.4	15.9	1.46	16.2	16.2	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 83, POR 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.0%
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.5%
SAS 91, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.15,0.01,0.02,0	92.2%