NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	9.6 [97]		MVP	Channing Frye (NYK): +49.5%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	6.3 [276]		LVP	Jared Jeffries (NYK): -14.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.36	0.06	0.32	0.01	15	80%	0.60	8	-0.24	5	100%	0.06
Charlie Villanueva	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	6	64%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.20	3	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Jared Reiner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	39%	0.10	1	-0.16	5	60%	0.04
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	20	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Charlie Bell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	12	42%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.49	0.49	0.02	0.48	-0.00	7	53%	0.52	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.27	0.27	-0.02	0.30	0.01	15	54%	0.38	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.39,0.26	0.26	-0.01	0.24	-0.02	17	55%	0.37	4	-0.11	6	67%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	91%	0.14	7	-0.21	3	67%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	-0.01	12	58%	0.03	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	28.2	17.4	29.7	2.5	40.4	145.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -2.3%

NYK +48.8%

NYK +2.1%

MIL -4.0%

NYK +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	15.8	15.4	100.0	103.3	104.5
season	15.2	15.7		105.3	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		106.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	14.8	16.3	15.2	15.4
NYK	14.2	16.6	15.7	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	78	80	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.00	8	-10	18	15.6	14.2	1.39	15.8	15.2	0.60
Jared Reiner	5	4	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.08	1	-3	4	10.0	15.7	-5.67	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Charlie Villanueva	39	39	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.03	2	-4	6	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.1	17.0	-2.85
David Noel	7	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-3	4	13.1	15.5	-2.40	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Ruben Patterson	57	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-5	8	15.6	15.1	0.51	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Andrew Bogut	81	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.51	2	-4	6	15.6	14.0	1.57	16.4	10.3	6.14
Charlie Bell	88	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	0	-2	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.7	17.2	-1.51
Michael Redd	59	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.44	-9	7	-16	15.1	15.8	-0.68	15.2	16.8	-1.54
Brian Skinner	51	50	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.45	-16	14	-30	15.1	15.7	-0.68	16.9	14.4	2.52

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	71	71	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-12	26	16.6	13.1	3.47	15.7	14.3	1.43
Stephon Marbury	83	82	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.48	5	-3	8	15.6	17.8	-2.22	15.4	14.8	0.62
Quentin Richardson	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-4	10	16.2	14.2	1.97	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Jamal Crawford	85	87	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	16.2	10.1	6.09	15.4	14.5	0.93
Jared Jeffries	39	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	-1	4	15.5	16.0	-0.54	15.2	15.5	-0.25
David Lee	49	52	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	-2	6	15.2	16.4	-1.21	16.0	14.5	1.48
Nate Robinson	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	2	-2	16.2	15.7	0.52	16.0	15.3	0.69
Jerome James	10	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	7	-12	16.0	15.7	0.26	12.6	15.7	-3.10
Channing Frye	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.31	-14	16	-30	14.4	16.4	-2.04	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Renaldo Balkman	13	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	10	-18	12.1	16.4	-4.30	13.1	15.8	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.61,0.55,0.22,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	91.6%
LAL 95, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.45,0.74,1	90.4%
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	90.3%