inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 88 Excitement3.2 [1160] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +9.9%
Detroit Pistons 110 Comeback1.2 [1165] LVPDarko Milicic (ORL): -10.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keyon Dooling0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.02286%0.042-0.00367%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.02853%0.032-0.021100%0.00
Keith Bogans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Travis Diener0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02283%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Dwight Howard-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.031567%0.066-0.07944%-0.05
Jameer Nelson-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.01954%0.053-0.06887%0.04
Hedo Turkoglu-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.010.01732%-0.041-0.02580%-0.00
Grant Hill-0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.010.06759%-0.033-0.06367%-0.00
Darko Milicic-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.110.00-0.00927%-0.091-0.01837%-0.05

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.06-0.011067%0.133-0.047100%0.04
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.03693%0.091-0.002100%0.01
Chris Webber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.130.000.071078%0.071-0.01367%-0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.011165%0.072-0.024100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.02964%0.041-0.00450%-0.02
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03533%0.0100.002100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.01750%0.0000.002100%0.01
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03360%0.0000.004100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03450%0.0020.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.02167%0.011-0.03450%-0.02
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02824%-0.041-0.0210%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game34.11.038.116.527.21.826.0144.7
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +27.2%
DET +7.2%
DET +2.2%
DET +12.6%
DET +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDETNBAORLDETNBA
this game14.317.515.497.8120.9104.5
season15.916.8103.4106.1
opponent15.715.7101.7103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.714.913.314.414.3
DET15.915.118.620.917.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Diener109-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-212013.514.4-0.9420.417.13.30
Pat Garrity1111-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-191614.114.4-0.2820.617.03.60
Keith Bogans1412-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-191613.414.5-1.1618.617.31.28
Grant Hill5054-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-15815.113.41.6418.516.02.53
Carlos Arroyo3130-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-171213.714.6-0.9016.218.1-1.85
Keyon Dooling3232-0.23-0.280.05-0.02-7-15813.914.6-0.6617.017.7-0.73
Bo Outlaw3638-0.23-0.270.040.27-17-5-1213.215.1-1.9417.617.40.18
Darko Milicic5962-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-13414.813.51.3417.317.8-0.42
JJ Redick2926-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-15-7-814.014.5-0.5415.218.4-3.14
Jameer Nelson5456-0.32-0.18-0.130.15-16-6-1014.813.61.2517.417.5-0.07
Hedo Turkoglu5759-0.34-0.16-0.180.22-19-3-1614.314.4-0.1017.118.1-1.01
Dwight Howard6766-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.12-8-14614.613.41.2117.617.20.38

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton67660.440.060.39-0.3828-63416.420.5-4.0614.713.31.36
Chauncey Billups58560.340.160.18-0.10157817.417.5-0.0714.713.61.10
Antonio McDyess37360.310.190.11-0.191751216.917.9-0.9314.414.30.05
Tayshaun Prince58560.300.200.09-0.171661017.118.2-1.1114.514.10.35
Rasheed Wallace46450.260.240.01-0.15148616.418.6-2.1914.813.90.93
Lindsey Hunter38400.220.28-0.05-0.04913-417.017.8-0.7713.515.0-1.46
Chris Webber42410.210.29-0.08-0.23157817.217.7-0.5715.313.61.72
Carlos Delfino37380.210.29-0.090.06517-1218.716.62.0314.414.30.15
Jason Maxiell21210.200.30-0.100.14220-1819.316.92.3613.114.7-1.55
Dale Davis22220.020.48-0.460.02022-2216.917.7-0.8014.614.20.34
Ronald Murray15150.000.50-0.500.21-729-3622.116.65.5012.014.8-2.80
Nazr Mohammed14140.000.50-0.500.12-426-3021.616.74.9312.114.7-2.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 83, DAL 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
MIN 77, GSW 1090.5,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
HOU 90, MIN 1220.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%