NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	83		Excitement	2.6 [1242]		MVP	Devean George (DAL): +14.0%
Dallas Mavericks	115		Comeback	1.1 [1242]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -5.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	12	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	58%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	9	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	12	81%	0.14	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	61%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	6	100%	0.14	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	3	90%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.16	-0.00	0.14	18	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	70%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.9	15.8	27.8	1.8	28.0	131.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.7%

LAC -2.7%

DAL +12.4%

DAL +4.8%

DAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	17.3	15.4	91.2	126.4	104.5
season	15.7	16.3		103.3	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	14.0	15.3	13.8	14.3
DAL	15.8	17.3	16.8	19.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	33	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-31	30	13.3	14.9	-1.56	19.1	16.3	2.83
Paul Davis	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-38	44	13.8	14.5	-0.74	19.6	16.6	3.00
Daniel Ewing	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-32	32	13.7	14.6	-0.89	19.1	16.5	2.63
Tim Thomas	39	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-26	20	14.0	14.6	-0.62	18.3	16.6	1.67
Quinton Ross	33	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	-20	8	14.4	14.3	0.15	16.8	17.6	-0.84
Sam Cassell	17	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-22	12	13.7	14.5	-0.77	16.4	17.5	-1.07
Shaun Livingston	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.37	-23	-9	-14	14.6	13.9	0.64	16.9	18.0	-1.06
Corey Maggette	56	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.30	-21	-11	-10	14.2	14.5	-0.25	17.4	17.2	0.11
Chris Kaman	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.59	-32	0	-32	14.3	14.4	-0.10	16.6	18.7	-2.16
Cuttino Mobley	58	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.45	-31	-1	-30	15.0	13.1	1.94	16.5	18.6	-2.12
Elton Brand	54	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.37	-30	-2	-28	15.0	13.4	1.65	16.3	18.9	-2.55

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	43	41	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	23	-14	18.8	16.0	2.79	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Devean George	37	39	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.36	23	9	14	18.2	16.7	1.42	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	53	53	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	13	6	16.2	18.8	-2.62	14.5	14.0	0.52
Josh Howard	59	60	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.57	30	2	28	16.3	19.2	-2.93	14.4	14.1	0.30
Jason Terry	56	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.57	30	2	28	16.1	19.3	-3.20	14.7	13.7	1.00
DeSagana Diop	32	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.23	17	15	2	17.7	17.1	0.57	15.0	13.9	1.08
Devin Harris	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.35	21	11	10	16.1	18.4	-2.28	14.9	13.8	1.12
Erick Dampier	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.36	20	12	8	16.3	18.4	-2.07	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Anthony Johnson	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	25	-18	18.8	16.2	2.67	13.6	14.8	-1.24
Austin Croshere	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	38	-44	19.6	16.6	3.00	13.8	14.5	-0.74
DJ Mbenga	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	37	-42	20.2	16.9	3.38	12.7	14.5	-1.82
Jose Juan Barea	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	37	-42	20.2	16.9	3.38	12.7	14.5	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIN 77, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MIA 103, IND 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%