inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 80 Excitement3.1 [1179] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +11.2%
San Antonio Spurs 95 Comeback1.9 [970] LVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): -9.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Sampson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.140.000.144137%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01150%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Nene-0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.010.04857%0.021-0.03743%-0.02
Linas Kleiza-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05667%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Allen Iverson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.00-0.081135%0.013-0.03475%0.01
Marcus Camby-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00760%0.054-0.081100%0.00
Eduardo Najera-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01312%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Reggie Evans-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.000.04450%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.01-0.031544%0.024-0.07475%-0.00
Steve Blake-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.011040%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
J.R. Smith-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.0240%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.01-0.01867%0.1100.00540%-0.01
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.02-0.05430%0.0400.00250%-0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.05850%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00950%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.011165%0.104-0.08475%-0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01450%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.010.03950%0.0000.00667%-0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06621%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05764%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.00939%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01525%-0.0610.0020%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.732.018.832.23.627.6144.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +36.7%
DEN -4.8%
DEN -2.6%
SAS +23.0%
DEN -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.616.215.487.9105.6104.5
season14.016.2105.8107.5
opponent15.415.398.9104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.318.613.814.915.6
SAS16.014.115.020.116.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yakhouba Diawara24250.00-0.500.50-0.3211-263714.116.1-1.9918.615.33.33
Jamal Sampson550.00-0.500.50-0.155-202512.815.8-2.9617.816.11.66
DerMarr Johnson770.00-0.500.50-0.155-202513.715.7-2.0420.115.94.24
Reggie Evans3534-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-131114.516.3-1.7517.415.51.89
Eduardo Najera3434-0.22-0.280.070.25-161-1716.315.21.1215.216.8-1.60
Linas Kleiza4748-0.23-0.270.04-0.11-4-11714.916.4-1.5417.015.41.60
Steve Blake6060-0.24-0.260.02-0.302-171915.915.00.9516.715.41.30
J.R. Smith1716-0.26-0.24-0.020.03-10-5-515.915.50.4314.516.6-2.11
Marcus Camby4543-0.29-0.21-0.090.18-161-1716.215.01.1114.817.5-2.67
Carmelo Anthony5655-0.32-0.18-0.140.24-194-2316.214.61.6615.617.2-1.63
Nene5656-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.10-8-7-115.915.10.7316.815.31.56
Allen Iverson6967-0.42-0.08-0.340.25-238-3115.715.20.5415.119.4-4.30

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili36360.340.160.17-0.4828-134115.017.1-2.0616.614.91.64
Tim Duncan47480.300.200.09-0.2318-32115.716.8-1.1116.215.01.21
Tony Parker46470.260.240.02-0.09123915.217.3-2.1216.115.01.10
Bruce Bowen46480.260.240.02-0.121321115.217.3-2.1216.215.01.21
Robert Horry34350.250.250.01-0.2718-32115.316.8-1.4615.715.50.15
Jacque Vaughn35340.240.26-0.02-0.141321116.516.10.4115.615.60.04
Fabricio Oberto30310.240.26-0.020.09510-515.916.4-0.5514.616.1-1.44
Francisco Elson46470.230.27-0.040.09510-516.116.4-0.2516.215.01.19
Michael Finley39380.220.28-0.070.13312-916.216.3-0.0514.916.1-1.11
Brent Barry48500.160.34-0.180.46-1025-3517.015.41.6414.616.8-2.25
Matt Bonner22210.000.50-0.500.41-1429-4320.215.05.2314.216.0-1.76
Beno Udrih21200.000.50-0.500.47-1631-4720.115.15.0414.915.8-0.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 95, PHI 1050.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
IND 98, NJN 1200.5,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
SAS 92, OKC 1050.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%