NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	7.8 [302]		MVP	Josh Smith (ATL): +18.8%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	1.3 [424]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -50.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.19	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	14	76%	0.29	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	19	51%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	0%	-0.13
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	4	108%	0.24	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	13	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.05
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.11	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.5	-0.50	-0.14	-0.36	-0.01	18	36%	-0.44	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	28.2	15.7	29.2	2.5	38.3	141.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +68.8%

GSW -16.0%

ATL +2.9%

GSW -14.4%

ATL +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	GSW	NBA	ATL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	12.7	15.4	106.0	105.0	104.5
season	16.1	13.5		101.1	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	15.7	17.1	17.6	16.1
GSW	14.2	12.6	12.4	11.7	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-6	13	16.2	15.7	0.45	12.6	13.4	-0.83
Joe Johnson	97	96	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-7	15	16.0	19.3	-3.35	12.9	9.5	3.35
Josh Smith	70	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-2	5	15.5	17.5	-2.03	13.2	11.7	1.48
Marvin Williams	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.52	-8	9	-17	16.6	15.5	1.07	12.3	13.3	-1.00
Lorenzen Wright	36	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-10	21	15.5	16.4	-0.95	13.8	12.1	1.74
Speedy Claxton	58	59	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	-6	13	16.4	15.7	0.71	12.3	13.3	-1.05
Zaza Pachulia	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	5	-9	17.4	14.8	2.52	12.8	12.6	0.15
Salim Stoudamire	9	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.31	-9	10	-19	16.9	16.0	0.89	11.0	12.9	-1.93
Jeremy Richardson	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	4	-7	18.0	16.0	2.02	12.2	12.7	-0.55
Shelden Williams	19	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	5	-9	13.9	16.6	-2.70	11.7	13.0	-1.33
Royal Ivey	20	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	4	-7	15.3	16.3	-0.91	13.6	12.5	1.06

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	10	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	10.6	13.0	-2.36	13.7	16.4	-2.64
Josh Powell	5	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	0	-1	12.2	12.7	-0.55	15.7	16.1	-0.44
Monta Ellis	71	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-7	13	12.5	13.2	-0.64	16.3	15.6	0.69
Kelenna Azubuike	81	83	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-6	11	12.6	13.3	-0.74	15.8	17.2	-1.39
Stephen Jackson	90	88	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.48	7	-8	15	12.6	13.5	-0.87	16.2	15.3	0.85
Al Harrington	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	5	-11	12.8	12.7	0.11	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Sarunas Jasikevicius	33	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	5	-11	13.5	12.3	1.19	15.3	16.5	-1.15
Andris Biedrins	85	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-2	3	13.0	11.1	1.87	16.4	14.4	2.01
Matt Barnes	79	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.42	-7	6	-13	12.8	12.5	0.25	16.6	14.1	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.32,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 108, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.1%
NYK 100, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0	93.2%
SAC 84, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.04,0	93.1%