NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	101		Excitement	11.2 [36]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): +67.8%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	3.5 [234]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -26.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.68	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.68	0.08	0.57	-0.03	4	90%	0.68	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.16	0.02	23	66%	0.46	4	-0.19	10	90%	0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	-0.00	7	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Marvin Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.23,-0.11,-0.27	-0.11	-0.16	0.00	17	37%	0.04	3	-0.31	4	75%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.24	-0.00	18	64%	0.58	3	-0.25	6	83%	0.02
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.33,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.04	0.25	-0.01	13	64%	0.45	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	8	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.09
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	2	20%	-0.10	1	-0.07	6	33%	-0.13
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	11	52%	0.01	4	-0.19	3	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.3	14.0	26.5	1.8	36.9	1.8	18.9	155.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.7%

NJN -1.6%

ATL +18.5%

NJN -14.2%

ATL +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	19.2	15.6	15.4	111.0	107.6	104.5
season	16.1	15.4		101.1	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	20.2	21.9	19.0	18.7	14.2	19.2
NJN	16.9	15.9	18.9	12.6	13.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	55	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	18.9	19.7	-0.82	15.9	15.1	0.72
Joe Johnson	86	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	19.1	21.6	-2.54	15.4	17.8	-2.41
Zaza Pachulia	44	47	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-10	22	19.5	18.9	0.59	17.1	13.9	3.22
Tyronn Lue	29	32	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.53	-3	5	-8	20.3	18.7	1.58	14.0	16.4	-2.42
Shelden Williams	29	28	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-10	22	21.6	18.1	3.51	18.5	14.3	4.25
Josh Smith	62	63	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.38	-10	12	-22	18.1	21.6	-3.51	14.5	17.9	-3.44
Josh Childress	57	59	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	19.6	18.6	0.97	15.9	15.1	0.80
Speedy Claxton	50	47	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	3	-4	18.9	19.6	-0.75	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Lorenzen Wright	32	31	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.06	-12	14	-26	20.3	18.6	1.77	14.8	16.0	-1.11

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	63	64	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.00	12	-14	26	15.2	16.3	-1.07	19.5	18.4	1.07
Jason Collins	44	46	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.15	13	-15	28	15.7	15.5	0.25	19.3	19.1	0.26
Marcus Williams	47	47	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-6	10	15.2	16.0	-0.74	18.9	19.5	-0.63
Eddie House	13	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-3	4	14.0	15.8	-1.84	20.8	18.9	1.92
Josh Boone	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-2	2	19.0	15.2	3.75	23.9	18.8	5.05
Clifford Robinson	25	23	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	10	-22	19.3	14.2	5.14	21.1	18.6	2.53
Mikki Moore	75	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	15.4	16.2	-0.74	18.8	20.7	-1.90
Bostjan Nachbar	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	14.7	16.8	-2.07	19.1	19.3	-0.12
Vince Carter	77	77	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.42	-10	8	-18	15.6	15.6	-0.03	19.1	19.9	-0.78
Antoine Wright	44	40	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.50	-9	7	-16	16.0	15.2	0.73	18.8	19.5	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.1,0.23,0.15,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.05,0.16,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.26,0	91.5%
NOP 125, CHA 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.38,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.5,0.53,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	90.6%
ORL 117, CLE 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	88.6%