NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	102		Excitement	5.6 [714]		MVP	Austin Croshere (DAL): +38.1%
Dallas Mavericks	122		Comeback	1.2 [1217]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -17.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	24	66%	0.21	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Nick Collison	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	9	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andre Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	54%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	13	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.35	0.11	0.08	14	103%	0.41	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	10	73%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	11	77%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	24%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.4	16.7	25.2	3.4	28.7	127.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +47.3%

DAL +7.4%

SEA -18.5%

DAL +9.1%

DAL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.4	113.3	135.6	104.5
season	15.4	16.3		105.5	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.8	17.3	13.7	17.8	15.8
DAL	17.1	14.6	15.8	17.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Gelabale	46	44	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.18	-4	-16	12	14.8	16.9	-2.13	17.1	15.4	1.70
Mike Wilks	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	14.3	15.9	-1.57	18.3	16.0	2.29
Mouhamed Sene	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-14	8	16.0	15.8	0.21	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Chris Wilcox	59	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-16	12	15.5	16.3	-0.80	17.4	13.9	3.50
Andre Brown	21	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-10	0	15.6	15.9	-0.24	13.6	16.9	-3.26
Earl Watson	57	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-9	-2	15.3	16.7	-1.46	17.0	14.7	2.35
Ray Allen	74	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-13	6	15.8	15.9	-0.09	16.3	15.7	0.64
Johan Petro	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-13	6	14.6	16.9	-2.30	14.8	17.4	-2.56
Nick Collison	50	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-13	6	16.8	14.6	2.21	17.0	15.1	1.85
Luke Ridnour	33	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-6	-8	17.1	15.0	2.09	14.2	17.3	-3.12
Damien Wilkins	58	58	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	0.14	-29	9	-38	16.9	13.7	3.23	15.4	17.6	-2.21

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	59	56	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	4	12	16.8	15.0	1.83	16.4	14.9	1.47
Jason Terry	63	63	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	0	20	16.7	15.0	1.77	17.1	12.7	4.48
Greg Buckner	62	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.24	25	-5	30	16.0	16.7	-0.75	16.1	15.2	0.88
Devin Harris	51	51	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.03	14	6	8	16.0	16.5	-0.46	16.4	15.1	1.28
Jerry Stackhouse	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	15	-10	13.8	17.6	-3.71	14.6	16.5	-1.84
Austin Croshere	41	44	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	10	0	16.5	15.9	0.57	16.4	15.2	1.15
DeSagana Diop	34	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	18	-16	14.1	17.4	-3.30	13.9	17.0	-3.09
Anthony Johnson	14	15	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	16	-12	16.1	16.2	-0.15	16.7	15.6	1.04
Erick Dampier	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.19	9	11	-2	17.3	15.3	2.00	16.5	15.3	1.26
DJ Mbenga	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	13.0	16.3	-3.31	11.0	15.9	-4.91
Maurice Ager	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	13.0	16.3	-3.31	11.0	15.9	-4.91
Devean George	48	47	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	31	-42	17.6	14.6	2.92	13.6	18.2	-4.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 104, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
DAL 69, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%