NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	109		Excitement	8.9 [149]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +61.8%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	41.5 [53]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -29.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.26,0.26	0.03	0.24	0.01	13	76%	0.47	8	-0.21	8	75%	-0.01
Marcus Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Hassan Adams	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	12	56%	0.09	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	17	57%	0.15	4	-0.17	6	83%	0.02
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.62	0.62	0.01	0.61	-0.00	14	61%	0.74	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.36	0.36	0.15	0.21	0.00	14	76%	0.43	3	-0.06	10	70%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	8	78%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.09	0.03	8	78%	0.15	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.20	0.02	20	39%	-0.09	3	-0.21	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	34.2	16.3	27.5	2.6	35.6	145.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +11.6%

GSW +17.2%

GSW +4.6%

GSW +12.8%

GSW +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	GSW	NBA	NJN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	12.2	15.4	104.8	106.8	104.5
season	15.4	13.5		103.1	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	14.0	15.9	17.6	15.6
GSW	15.4	10.1	10.7	13.5	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	51	49	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.15	1	-2	3	15.9	15.4	0.49	12.7	11.7	1.03
Hassan Adams	30	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-8	15	15.4	15.7	-0.30	13.6	11.5	2.08
Eddie House	24	23	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.19	-3	2	-5	15.3	15.7	-0.37	12.2	12.2	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	35	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-2	3	16.7	15.1	1.61	11.3	12.6	-1.30
Josh Boone	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	15.3	15.6	-0.35	12.6	12.2	0.40
Antoine Wright	17	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	14.5	15.8	-1.37	10.2	12.6	-2.46
Vince Carter	80	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.51	4	-5	9	15.7	15.2	0.58	12.8	10.4	2.32
Marcus Williams	54	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.54	3	-4	7	16.2	15.0	1.15	12.2	12.2	-0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	4	-9	15.7	15.5	0.20	11.6	13.3	-1.74
Mikki Moore	73	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.66	0	-1	1	15.5	15.8	-0.32	12.4	11.7	0.70
Jason Kidd	80	79	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.56	-13	12	-25	14.9	17.8	-2.88	11.9	13.3	-1.43

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	53	54	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.46	11	-10	21	11.0	13.4	-2.42	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Andris Biedrins	75	78	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.69	3	-2	5	12.5	11.5	1.00	16.0	14.3	1.69
Monta Ellis	85	86	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-12	25	11.5	15.4	-3.94	15.7	15.1	0.68
Baron Davis	85	88	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-3	7	12.5	10.6	1.92	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Al Harrington	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.57	-2	3	-5	12.3	11.9	0.36	15.4	16.1	-0.62
Sarunas Jasikevicius	27	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.11	-11	12	-23	14.4	11.4	3.00	16.0	15.5	0.57
Stephen Jackson	56	53	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	11	-21	12.8	11.5	1.26	15.7	15.6	0.09
Mickael Pietrus	59	58	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.31	-3	4	-7	11.7	12.8	-1.09	15.3	16.0	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.28,0.17,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.23,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, HOU 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.15,0.23,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.42,1	90.7%
ATL 94, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.1,0.1,0.23,1	89.0%
NOP 91, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.26,0.19,0.39,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.42,1	88.8%