NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	7.4 [364]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): +26.7%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	1.2 [370]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -9.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.27,0.27	0.07	0.18	-0.01	13	65%	0.35	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.03
Eddy Curry	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.02	12	84%	0.30	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.03
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	16	57%	0.15	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.02	8	71%	0.14	2	-0.07	12	83%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0	83%	0.10	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	17	66%	0.22	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	14	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.07
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	17	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.13	0.02	16	53%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	34.3	16.4	26.2	2.4	38.4	142.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +64.9%

NYK +13.7%

NYK +5.0%

IND -34.7%

NYK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	15.4	118.7	115.2	104.5
season	15.7	15.3		103.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.3	17.1	18.1	14.4	16.8
IND	18.6	15.6	13.2	12.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	83	82	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	16.6	18.6	-2.01	14.3	17.7	-3.37
Malik Rose	18	18	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	-3	8	14.2	17.4	-3.27	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Stephon Marbury	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	1	0	18.1	12.8	5.36	14.8	14.4	0.38
Jamal Crawford	59	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	4	-6	15.1	20.0	-4.95	13.9	16.2	-2.31
David Lee	86	85	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.42	-3	5	-8	16.8	16.4	0.41	14.3	19.6	-5.28
Channing Frye	18	20	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	-9	20	15.5	17.1	-1.61	18.0	13.8	4.22
Jared Jeffries	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	1	0	18.9	14.1	4.85	16.0	13.1	2.88
Eddy Curry	47	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	4	-6	17.7	15.8	1.84	15.3	14.0	1.31
Nate Robinson	17	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	7	-12	14.1	17.4	-3.29	13.1	15.1	-2.04
Jerome James	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	5	-8	15.4	16.9	-1.55	13.9	14.8	-0.90

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	2	-6	14.7	14.7	0.00	17.0	16.8	0.24
Jeff Foster	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	16.9	13.4	3.50	18.0	16.1	1.98
Danny Granger	81	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.43	9	-11	20	14.4	16.9	-2.51	16.9	16.2	0.72
Orien Greene	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	3	-8	13.8	14.8	-1.08	18.2	16.6	1.68
Mike Dunleavy	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-7	12	14.1	15.7	-1.56	16.5	17.4	-0.90
Jamaal Tinsley	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-8	14	14.6	14.9	-0.31	16.7	17.1	-0.40
Shawne Williams	8	9	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	8	-18	13.9	14.8	-0.90	17.2	16.7	0.48
Darrell Armstrong	32	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-6	10	12.2	16.0	-3.89	15.4	17.5	-2.08
Troy Murphy	47	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	4	-10	14.7	14.7	0.01	16.7	16.9	-0.21
Jermaine O'Neal	76	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.45	5	-7	12	15.0	13.2	1.83	16.8	16.7	0.10
Marquis Daniels	35	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	8	-18	16.5	13.6	2.98	16.7	16.8	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.15,0.29,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 120, NJN 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.2%
WAS 92, NOP 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,0	92.3%
CHA 105, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0	92.3%