NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	105		Excitement	6.0 [632]		MVP	Sean Kilpatrick (BKN): +30.1%
Brooklyn Nets	100		Comeback	1.1 [946]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): -15.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	16	62%	0.25	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	12	70%	0.23	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Al Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07	-0.06	0.11	-0.02	14	41%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.05
Cody Zeller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.25	0.08	0.03	12	93%	0.30	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.12	0.06	8	80%	0.25	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.07
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	19	64%	0.14	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	4	20%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.4	27.3	14.8	27.5	1.8	35.5	129.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +40.3%

BKN -1.1%

BKN -8.0%

CHA +21.2%

BKN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BKN	NBA	CHA	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	14.9	108.2	104.2	105.1
season	15.1	15.0		105.5	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.8		109.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.3	15.7	15.5	13.9	15.5
BKN	15.5	13.1	15.1	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	56	56	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.00	19	-14	33	14.9	16.4	-1.46	14.6	13.9	0.66
Cody Zeller	47	49	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-3	11	15.2	15.8	-0.57	14.6	14.0	0.57
Nicolas Batum	78	78	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.33	-1	6	-7	15.9	14.2	1.70	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Spencer Hawes	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	0	5	14.9	15.9	-0.98	14.9	13.9	0.99
Jeremy Lamb	24	23	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	2	1	15.1	15.7	-0.53	14.5	14.2	0.28
Kemba Walker	73	73	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	3	-1	15.7	15.1	0.53	14.2	14.5	-0.28
Frank Kaminsky	55	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	4	-3	16.4	14.4	2.06	14.1	14.6	-0.56
Al Jefferson	50	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.27	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.2	0.57	14.0	14.6	-0.57
Jeremy Lin	62	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	14	-23	15.2	16.0	-0.79	14.0	14.9	-0.92

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-13	21	14.4	14.3	0.06	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Sean Kilpatrick	57	56	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.43	16	-21	37	14.2	14.5	-0.25	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Shane Larkin	43	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-9	13	14.0	14.5	-0.48	15.0	16.0	-0.94
Thomas Robinson	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-8	11	13.9	14.5	-0.53	14.7	15.8	-1.19
Henry Sims	17	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	14.5	14.3	0.26	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Markel Brown	25	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.11	-5	0	-5	13.2	14.7	-1.45	12.8	16.6	-3.80
Wayne Ellington	25	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	8	-21	14.9	14.1	0.82	16.4	15.2	1.12
Brook Lopez	76	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-3	1	14.6	13.3	1.28	16.1	13.2	2.94
Thaddeus Young	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	3	-11	14.5	13.9	0.53	15.8	14.7	1.19
Donald Sloan	53	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	4	-13	14.5	14.0	0.48	16.0	15.0	0.94
Bojan Bogdanovic	57	57	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.10	-17	12	-29	14.2	14.5	-0.34	16.2	14.5	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.16,0	93.1%
SAC 98, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
MIL 95, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0	93.0%