NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	9.8 [87]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (DET): +15.4%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	2.3 [382]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -22.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	14	60%	0.27	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	8	88%	0.22	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	62%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.2,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	11	50%	0.17	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Bracey Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.09,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	18	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Mark Blount	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	13	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	10	80%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	13	43%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0	0.00	0.07	-0.05	0.02	25	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	11	14%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	0.01	15	40%	-0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.7	16.8	21.2	2.7	35.5	1.7	21.8	153.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +50.0%

MIN +4.5%

MIN +29.7%

DET -38.9%

MIN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DET	NBA	MIN	DET	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.4	96.9	95.7	104.5
season	15.4	16.8		101.9	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.7	16.2	19.6	17.8	19.1	17.2
DET	16.7	15.8	15.4	17.3	14.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	90	88	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-11	26	17.1	18.3	-1.17	16.3	13.3	2.94
Trenton Hassell	86	84	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	17.1	18.0	-0.91	16.4	13.4	3.00
Ricky Davis	88	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	17.5	14.0	3.52	15.9	18.2	-2.36
Randy Foye	52	50	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	3	-2	17.7	16.6	1.15	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Mike James	46	45	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	-1	6	16.2	18.1	-1.86	16.6	15.6	0.99
Craig Smith	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	3	-2	17.6	17.0	0.67	16.0	16.1	-0.18
Mark Blount	70	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.39	-10	14	-24	17.3	16.8	0.53	16.1	16.1	-0.03
Bracey Wright	20	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	12	-20	16.2	17.5	-1.25	15.7	16.2	-0.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.26	-10	6	-16	15.5	16.2	-0.72	18.6	16.9	1.74
Nazr Mohammed	28	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-4	4	15.1	16.5	-1.34	18.9	16.4	2.52
Carlos Delfino	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	16.0	16.1	-0.08	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Dale Davis	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	7	-18	17.5	15.4	2.15	14.4	18.6	-4.16
Antonio McDyess	51	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-10	16	15.3	17.1	-1.81	18.2	16.0	2.15
Rasheed Wallace	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-3	2	16.6	14.1	2.44	17.4	16.5	0.88
Richard Hamilton	73	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-2	0	15.8	17.0	-1.18	17.0	17.8	-0.80
Tayshaun Prince	83	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	1	-6	16.2	15.3	0.92	17.2	16.9	0.32
Ronald Murray	76	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.63	4	-8	12	16.2	15.5	0.72	16.7	19.4	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.37,0.24,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	88.6%
POR 110, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0,0	88.6%
ATL 117, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.33,0.15,0	88.5%