NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	83		Excitement	7.1 [424]		MVP	Derek Anderson (CHA): +18.1%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	1.9 [643]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -28.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	10	55%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	11	56%	0.14	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.14
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Willie Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	16	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.14
Andre Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	12	36%	-0.00	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29	-0.10	-0.18	0.01	9	47%	-0.13	5	-0.16	12	83%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	7	83%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	8	45%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.05
Jeff McInnis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.05	-0.01	11	42%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.05
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	17	41%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	0.02	16	50%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	0.01	10	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.0	31.1	15.5	26.3	2.5	43.4	148.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +8.8%

CHA +12.8%

CHA +9.4%

CHA +18.5%

CHA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.4	89.2	97.8	104.5
season	15.5	15.7		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	17.6	14.4	13.3	15.1
CHA	14.8	14.4	19.2	16.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	54	53	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-14	22	15.8	14.2	1.64	16.8	15.3	1.49
Bobby Jones	1	0	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-6	6	0.0	15.3	-15.27	0.0	16.2	-16.21
Lou Williams	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-6	6	1.0	15.3	-14.26	0.0	16.2	-16.21
Rodney Carney	6	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	0	-6	18.3	14.9	3.45	10.0	16.5	-6.49
Andre Miller	80	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-14	22	15.1	15.0	0.13	16.7	12.7	3.96
Samuel Dalembert	69	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.42	8	-14	22	15.0	15.3	-0.25	16.5	15.4	1.05
Willie Green	81	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.34	2	-8	10	14.5	19.2	-4.66	16.6	13.0	3.56
Steven Hunter	24	22	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	8	-22	15.3	15.0	0.25	15.4	16.5	-1.05
Kyle Korver	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	14.6	15.5	-0.98	14.7	17.5	-2.78
Kevin Ollie	13	11	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	8	-22	15.0	15.1	-0.13	12.7	16.7	-3.96
Andre Iguodala	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	15.3	14.6	0.68	16.9	13.8	3.18
Alan Henderson	23	21	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	11	-28	16.5	14.6	1.88	15.0	16.6	-1.57

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean May	44	47	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.33	15	-9	24	16.2	16.2	0.08	15.3	14.9	0.38
Derek Anderson	74	76	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	-1	8	16.1	16.8	-0.68	15.5	13.5	1.93
Raymond Felton	84	86	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	2	2	16.0	18.9	-2.87	14.7	20.0	-5.29
Emeka Okafor	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	6	-6	16.9	14.1	2.79	15.2	14.7	0.49
Jake Voskuhl	29	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-1	8	14.8	16.9	-2.13	14.5	15.4	-0.84
Matt Carroll	67	67	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	11	-16	16.1	16.4	-0.23	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Adam Morrison	55	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	-1	8	16.4	16.0	0.39	15.4	14.6	0.76
Primoz Brezec	33	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	11	-16	16.7	15.9	0.81	15.5	14.9	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.83,0.75,0.46,0.69,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.48,0.55,0.72,1	92.5%
POR 79, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.85,0.85,1	91.9%
GSW 108, CLE 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.64,0.85,0.96,1	91.8%