NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	97		Excitement	6.4 [556]		MVP	Matt Barnes (GSW): +20.6%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	89		Comeback	2.9 [568]		LVP	Devin Brown (NOK): -18.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.17	0.04	0.00	20	62%	0.21	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	71%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	59%	0.12	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.10	0.00	25	46%	0.15	3	-0.09	13	62%	-0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	13	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.01	0.02	20	70%	0.20	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.02	16	65%	0.15	3	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Cedric Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	11	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	10	10%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	31.4	15.0	23.9	0.3	30.0	127.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +7.1%

GSW +8.8%

GSW +10.3%

GSW +25.1%

NOK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOK	NBA	GSW	NOK	NBA
this game	13.5	17.6	15.4	105.4	95.7	104.5
season	13.5	16.0		105.7	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.9	10.2	11.4	17.4	13.5
NOK	14.5	21.1	19.9	15.3	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	56	57	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-10	28	13.0	14.2	-1.29	17.1	18.6	-1.53
Matt Barnes	77	77	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.10	19	-11	30	13.2	14.7	-1.43	18.8	12.3	6.44
Baron Davis	92	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	13.5	0.0	13.47	17.6	0.0	17.65
Mickael Pietrus	81	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	7	-6	13.9	10.5	3.32	17.2	20.3	-3.09
Andris Biedrins	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	8	-8	13.4	13.6	-0.19	17.6	17.7	-0.14
Troy Murphy	44	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	0	8	13.6	13.4	0.19	17.7	17.6	0.14
Kelenna Azubuike	30	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	11	-14	13.0	13.7	-0.69	17.9	17.5	0.35
Keith McLeod	32	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	19	-30	14.3	13.0	1.34	16.8	18.1	-1.27

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	16	14	0.30	-0.80	1.10	-0.02	11	-19	30	18.2	17.5	0.73	16.9	12.9	4.00
Cedric Simmons	10	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	3	-14	18.6	17.5	1.07	10.7	13.8	-3.10
Devin Brown	53	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	17.3	18.1	-0.89	13.2	13.8	-0.59
Marc Jackson	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	18.8	16.4	2.33	13.4	13.5	-0.13
Jannero Pargo	87	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	17.4	21.0	-3.59	13.6	10.8	2.82
Desmond Mason	91	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	17.5	24.5	-7.01	13.5	12.0	1.50
Rasual Butler	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	17.6	0.0	17.65	13.5	0.0	13.47
Tyson Chandler	67	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	0	-8	17.4	18.4	-1.03	13.2	14.3	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.05,0.2,0.29,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, DET 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.16,0	91.8%
UTA 104, NJN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.6%
HOU 118, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.25,0.32,0.17,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.16,0.01,0,0	91.4%