NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	7.5 [341]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOK): +18.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	99		Comeback	3.1 [241]		LVP	Jannero Pargo (NOK): -27.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yakhouba Diawara	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.07	-0.05	0.02	22	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Linas Kleiza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	13	38%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.26,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.10	-0.01	22	39%	-0.11	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.06

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,0.05,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.16	-0.00	18	54%	0.25	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	63%	0.18	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Cedric Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	71%	0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Vinicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	12	32%	-0.15	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	31.2	15.7	24.8	0.8	31.3	130.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +58.7%

DEN -0.9%

NOK +4.3%

DEN -18.9%

NOK +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOK	NBA	DEN	NOK	NBA
this game	13.8	14.7	15.4	88.1	98.0	104.5
season	14.0	16.0		105.8	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.4	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.9	12.9	15.3	14.3	13.8
NOK	14.8	14.3	16.0	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	54	53	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	12.8	15.0	-2.18	14.3	15.2	-0.97
Jamal Sampson	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-7	4	13.3	14.0	-0.70	15.8	14.2	1.55
Reggie Evans	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-10	10	13.1	14.6	-1.46	14.4	15.1	-0.74
DerMarr Johnson	57	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	2	-14	14.8	12.5	2.21	14.3	15.3	-0.92
Allen Iverson	94	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-3	-4	13.9	11.9	2.08	14.8	14.0	0.78
Earl Boykins	76	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.3	15.4	-2.08	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Yakhouba Diawara	70	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	13.9	13.5	0.40	14.7	14.8	-0.18
Eduardo Najera	66	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	-2	-6	14.8	11.8	3.00	15.7	13.0	2.68

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	62	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-8	26	14.5	15.0	-0.49	14.9	12.1	2.84
Rasual Butler	79	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.22	12	-2	14	14.9	14.2	0.63	13.8	13.9	-0.14
Devin Brown	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.36	3	7	-4	14.4	15.5	-1.15	13.0	15.7	-2.76
Tyson Chandler	81	81	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	4	2	14.5	15.6	-1.16	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Desmond Mason	88	86	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	2	6	14.6	15.5	-0.85	13.4	15.9	-2.44
Marc Jackson	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	2	6	15.6	13.7	1.85	15.2	12.2	3.01
Marcus Vinicius	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	12	-14	14.1	14.8	-0.74	14.7	13.7	1.03
Cedric Simmons	56	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	13	-16	15.0	14.4	0.62	12.8	15.0	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.54,0.73,0.53,0.72,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	92.5%
PHX 92, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.84,0.96,0.97,1	91.7%
SAS 93, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.92,1	91.4%